Originally Posted by
Troublemaker
I'll have to see it to believe it. Coach K has never made that type of tournament run before.
Of Coach K's 12 Final Fours, 11 were accomplished as either a 1 or 2 seed. (And Duke was a 3 seed the one other time.)
So if you're thinking that Duke can, like Kentucky 2014, make the Final Four as an 8 seed... I'll just repeat that I'll have to see it to believe it. Because Coach K has never done that before.
Now, I DO think this Duke team can make the Final Four. Where you and I disagree is probably about Duke's chances to win an ACC championship this season, regular season or tournament. I think Duke can win both, and I think Duke is > 50/50 to win at least one.
With the implementation of the 1-3-1 zone, and with Brandon and Luke starting to pitch in, Duke's about to click as a team. We should be able to match UVA and UNC in consistency once ACC games begin. IMO.
Troublemaker, we don't have a really good idea how a Duke team would fare seeded lower than #1-3. Of K's 31 tournaments, Duke was a #1 seed 13 times; a #2, nine times; and a #3 six times. Only three times was Duke seeded lower than #3: #8 in 1996; #6 in 2007 and #5 in 1987. True, only once did we make the Sweet 16 as a lower seed, but we only have three data points. It is not as if we have a lot of experience as a #8 seed, which is good.
Sage Grouse
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'When I got on the bus for my first road game at Duke, I saw that every player was carrying textbooks or laptops. I coached in the SEC for 25 years, and I had never seen that before, not even once.' - David Cutcliffe to Duke alumni in Washington, DC, June 2013