View Poll Results: What will the electoral vote count look like?

Voters
106. You may not vote on this poll
  • Clinton Landslide: 350+ EVs

    6 5.66%
  • Clinton strong win: 325-350 EVs

    25 23.58%
  • Clinton solid win: 300-324 EVs

    53 50.00%
  • Clinton close win: 280-299 EVs

    14 13.21%
  • Clinton barely wins: 270-279 EVs

    4 3.77%
  • Tie: 269-269 EVs (also vote here if neither candidate get to 270)

    1 0.94%
  • Trump barely wins: 270-279 EVs

    1 0.94%
  • Trump close win: 280-299 EVs

    2 1.89%
  • Trump solid win: 300-324 EVs

    0 0%
  • Trump strong win: 325+ EVs

    0 0%
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Results 14,801 to 14,820 of 16488
  1. #14801
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    Rougemont Nebulae
    Quote Originally Posted by BandAlum83 View Post
    3000
    Beware, in true Trumpian form the LTE-humpers are panic-posting.
    Last edited by CameronBlue; 11-01-2016 at 10:25 AM.
    "You will stop hearing the term 'Big Brother' because we will do it to ourselves." --Neil Postman

  2. #14802
    Join Date
    Feb 2016
    Location
    Atlanta
    Quote Originally Posted by CameronBlue View Post
    Beware, in true Trumpian form the LTE-humpers are panic-posting.
    I think this is so hilarious. It is meaningless, of course. The LTE has been around forever (9 years), and this one will shut down after less than 2 years. Even if this thread had passed the LTE, it would have been a short-lived victory.

  3. #14803
    Quote Originally Posted by -jk View Post
    I think they mean human DNS traffic is always reactive to something, not just random, background noise.

    -jk
    I guess that makes more sense, but doesn't it presume the traffic is human-initiated in this context? The server was sending out spammy marketing stuff, so it could have been doing that on a regular basis. The timestamp discussion in the article didn't really address that, it just said they didn't think the data was faked, rather than addressing scheduling.

  4. #14804
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    Hot'Lanta... home of the Falcons!
    Quote Originally Posted by BandAlum83 View Post
    I think this is so hilarious. It is meaningless, of course. The LTE has been around forever (9 years), and this one will shut down after less than 2 years. Even if this thread had passed the LTE, it would have been a short-lived victory.
    Yeah, their meaningless and panicky posts are both funny and a tad pathetic. The fact that this thread has naturally, through legitimate and compelling conversation, reached this many posts speaks volumes. Props to everyone who has kept the conversation stimulating and not (too) aggressive.
    I don't know what you are doing right now, but if you aren't listening to the DBR Podcast, you're doing it wrong.

  5. #14805
    Clinton gets some unexpected support from Scott Walker.

  6. #14806
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    Rougemont Nebulae
    Quote Originally Posted by JasonEvans View Post
    Yeah, their meaningless and panicky posts are both funny and a tad pathetic. The fact that this thread has naturally, through legitimate and compelling conversation, reached this many posts speaks volumes. Props to everyone who has kept the conversation stimulating and not (too) aggressive.
    Yes, and getting a tad personal I might add. Beware that your DBR "member" bona fides aren't questioned (Really LTEers, REALLY?) If you're older than a 5th grader it's all terribly droll and if you're younger than a 5th grader, well, you probably have a legitimate excuse.
    "You will stop hearing the term 'Big Brother' because we will do it to ourselves." --Neil Postman

  7. #14807
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    Hot'Lanta... home of the Falcons!
    Quote Originally Posted by CameronBlue View Post
    Yes, and getting a tad personal I might add. Beware that your DBR "member" bona fides aren't questioned (Really LTEers, REALLY?) If you're older than a 5th grader it's all terribly droll and if you're younger than a 5th grader, well, you probably have a legitimate excuse.
    Folks, there is no competition. It is silly. This thread's purpose is to provide some intelligent and thoughtful folks with a non-partisan, non-argumentative outlet for talking about the presidential election. That thread's purpose is to be long. Just because this thread has gotten long, it does not mean there is suddenly some desire or effort to make this thread longer than that one. It is not going to happen and no one should care anyway.

    If I actually wanted a thread to be longer than the LTE, I would merely merge all the threads about Duke hoops recruiting into one thread (not just this year, but every year of recruiting -- it would be called "ongoing recruiting collector thread") and it would dwarf the LTE. What's more it would actually be more connected and logical as one thread than the LTE is. But, that is not how DBR works and if some folks want to have fun by maintaining a thread that's sole purpose is to keep on going on and on and on and on, that's perfectly fine.

    -Jason "meanwhile, I promise I am not even remotely concerned or worried that Hillary is going to blow this. See, I'm not worried. If I say it enough it must be true, right?" Evans
    I don't know what you are doing right now, but if you aren't listening to the DBR Podcast, you're doing it wrong.

  8. #14808
    Quote Originally Posted by JasonEvans View Post
    Folks, there is no competition. It is silly. This thread's purpose is to provide some intelligent and thoughtful folks with a non-partisan, non-argumentative outlet for talking about the presidential election. That thread's purpose is to be long. Just because this thread has gotten long, it does not mean there is suddenly some desire or effort to make this thread longer than that one. It is not going to happen and no one should care anyway.

    If I actually wanted a thread to be longer than the LTE, I would merely merge all the threads about Duke hoops recruiting into one thread (not just this year, but every year of recruiting -- it would be called "ongoing recruiting collector thread") and it would dwarf the LTE. What's more it would actually be more connected and logical as one thread than the LTE is. But, that is not how DBR works and if some folks want to have fun by maintaining a thread that's sole purpose is to keep on going on and on and on and on, that's perfectly fine.

    -Jason "meanwhile, I promise I am not even remotely concerned or worried that Hillary is going to blow this. See, I'm not worried. If I say it enough it must be true, right?" Evans
    I sincerely hope that everyone on both threads finds it only mildly interesting that these threads are momentarily vying for the length trophy. I know I do.

    Anyone who is getting legitimately distressed probably ought to step away from the keyboard for a deep breath.

    All in good fun!
       

  9. #14809
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    Steamboat Springs, CO
    Quote Originally Posted by BandAlum83 View Post
    I think this is so hilarious. It is meaningless, of course. The LTE has been around forever (9 years), and this one will shut down after less than 2 years. Even if this thread had passed the LTE, it would have been a short-lived victory.
    It ain't distance, it's acceleration and speed.
    Sage Grouse

    ---------------------------------------
    'When I got on the bus for my first road game at Duke, I saw that every player was carrying textbooks or laptops. I coached in the SEC for 25 years, and I had never seen that before, not even once.' - David Cutcliffe to Duke alumni in Washington, DC, June 2013

  10. #14810
    Join Date
    Apr 2010
    Location
    Winston-Salem

    I voted today

    Posted without comment to retain neutrality.

  11. #14811
    Join Date
    Sep 2007
    Location
    Undisclosed
    Quote Originally Posted by sagegrouse View Post
    It ain't distance, it's acceleration and speed.
    You matter.

    Unless you multiply yourself by the speed of light squared.

    Then, you energy.


    LTE is a fun thread, this is a fun thread. Different purposes. 'Nuf said.


    This should be where early voting, and a superior ground game, give Hillary the legs she needs to pull this one out. But if FL and NC are called early for Trump a week from tonight, it's gonna be a Maalox masher of a finish.
    Birds aren’t real. Do your own research!

  12. #14812
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    Washington DC
    In news both relevant to the election and catching the LTE, the WaPo discusses "overtime"

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs...=.c5d8cb58e4fe


    This morning, election rules expert Michael McDonald argues that if the outcome is close, the election could very well “go into overtime,” adding that “in this environment,” this could “rip this country apart.” McDonald posits that in a very close finish, Trump could be favored on election night, but over subsequent days, as the vote counting continues afterwards, Clinton might then edge into the lead:

    A Democratic shift from election night to the final tally of votes is predictable. All states count some ballots late, and those tend to break towards Democrats. Nothing nefarious occurs: the casting and counting follow procedures laid out in state law. Some of the states that count more late ballots are key battlegrounds, magnifying the suspense on Election Night.

    Mail ballots are one of two types that can shift election results. Many states require mail ballots to be received by election officials on Election Day. Others continue to accept ballots postmarked on Election Day, up to two weeks following the election. Among these states are Iowa, North Carolina, Ohio, and Wisconsin.

    These late ballots may break towards the Democrats. My analysis shows more Democrats than Republicans in Iowa and North Carolina have yet to return their mail ballots. Why? These voters tend to be younger people who tend to return their ballots later. If Trump is slightly ahead in a late mail-ballot return state, he could fall behind after all the mail ballots are counted.

    Then there are provisional ballots. States are required under federal law to provide them to anyone with a problem at the polls — a voter who doesn’t have the required form of ID, for instance, or whose name is missing from the voter registration rolls. Election officials review provisional ballots and allow voters to clarify their eligibility after Election Day. In the four states that report separate results for provisional ballots, the voters who cast them broke strongly for the Democrats. So if the presidential race is particularly close, provisional ballots could tilt it.

  13. #14813
    Quote Originally Posted by Tom B. View Post
    Clinton gets some unexpected support from Scott Walker.
    Popularity contests are really no indication of a job well done. I would say it's more of a sign of folks already missing Obama knowing that one of Trump or Clinton will be replacing him.

    Did you know that George W. Bush is now more popular than Bill J. Clinton?
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/...-bill-clinton/

  14. #14814
    Quote Originally Posted by PackMan97 View Post
    Did you know that George W. Bush is now more popular than Bill J. Clinton?
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/...-bill-clinton/
    Wife affect? Nobody is currently finding fault with Laura.

  15. #14815
    Join Date
    Dec 2009
    Location
    North of Durham
    Quote Originally Posted by PackMan97 View Post
    Popularity contests are really no indication of a job well done. I would say it's more of a sign of folks already missing Obama knowing that one of Trump or Clinton will be replacing him.

    Did you know that George W. Bush is now more popular than Bill J. Clinton?
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/...-bill-clinton/
    It is hard to respond to your comment without going into PPB board topics, but I think that but numerous measures, the country has been immensely successful during Obama's tenure, particularly given where things were when he started. A high tide does not raise all ships, but there are many, many people who are happy with the direction in which the country has moved over the last eight years. I agree that the two options being presented make him look even better (I made the repeal the 22nd Amendment comment yesterday), but he deserves credit as well. Just to show that I am not being totally partisan, as a NYC resident, I felt the same way when the very liberal deBlasio made his way into office basing his campaign on how bad Bloomberg had been for the city.

  16. #14816
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    Boston, MA
    Hate to say I told you so....but the latest 538 projections have Trump winning Florida, up in Ohio and Iowa, and barely losing in North Carolina. Odds for Hillary down to 71.2%.

    This election has been entirely about public announcements. Hillary was up big, then came the FBI ruling in July. She plummeted through the first week of August. Then came Trump and his attack on the Khan family. He plummeted. Then came the "Basket of Deplorables" fiasco. Hillary plummeted. Then game the First Debate and the Bush-Trump taped conversation. He plummeted. Now it's Comey and the "no concrete news" investigation. Hillary is plummeting.

    Unless something new comes out about Trump in the next few days (and it certainly could), I will stand by my current prediction. Trump wins Florida, Ohio, Iowa, North Carolina and Nevada. This election comes down to Michigan, New Hampshire and Colorado (all - at the moment - fairly solid towards Hillary). GOP retains Senate by winning North Carolina, Nevada, Missouri, and one of either New Hampshire or Indiana.

    We then face the worst case scenario - either a Trump win with the GOP. Or a Hillary barely win (272 electoral votes) with a GOP Senate and Trump not conceding for days (if not weeks/ever). I think you all know where I stand (solidly behind Clinton). To be honest, I would rather have Trump win, then to have Hillary barely win and then have the GOP with the Senate. At least in the former (I believe), the GOP will eventually self-destruct, and when the economy doesn't improve (it likely won't under either), and Trump doesn't get done what he said he would (no wall, no repeal of Obamacare, no stop of terrorism in the US) and does what he can (restrictions on abortions, gay marriage, appointment of conservative judges), the backlash in 2 years will be immense. That happens no matter who wins, by the way.

    Just an amazing election season. I'm so, so, so, so ready for it to be over. Like the worst root canal while watching the end of a close UNC -Duke game and a remarkably tense horror movie at the same time.

  17. #14817
    Quote Originally Posted by Udaman View Post
    Hate to say I told you so...
    Don't worry, you'll have no true need.

  18. #14818
    Quote Originally Posted by CrazyNotCrazie View Post
    It is hard to respond to your comment without going into PPB board topics
    I wasn't attempting to go there. Only that Presidents seem to become more popular as time goes by...and that no one really likes the choices that will become President on Jan 21.

  19. #14819
    Join Date
    Feb 2007
    Location
    NC
    Quote Originally Posted by Udaman View Post
    Unless something new comes out about Trump in the next few days (and it certainly could), I will stand by my current prediction. Trump wins Florida, Ohio, Iowa, North Carolina and Nevada. This election comes down to Michigan, New Hampshire and Colorado (all - at the moment - fairly solid towards Hillary). GOP retains Senate by winning North Carolina, Nevada, Missouri, and one of either New Hampshire or Indiana.
    I'm getting lost in all the changes to your steadfast predictions over the past few months.

  20. #14820
    Quote Originally Posted by PackMan97 View Post
    ..and that no one really likes the choices that will become President on Jan 21.
    Many here are very pleased.

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