#1 Seed Predictions

[Duke95]

Mine are:

Florida, Wichita State, Arizona, and Virginia

First to lose: Wichita State
Last to lose: Florida in the finals to Duke

[superdave]

#1 Seeds: Florida, Arizona, Wichita State, TBD

Final Four: Florida, Arizona, Louisville, TBD

Sleeper: Cincinatti

I reserve the right to watch the ACCT for the rest. No idea how the top four ACC teams will finish the season. Too up and down. All four have bad losses that are concerning.

[gurufrisbee]

Locked in: Wichita St, Florida
Very likely: Arizona, Duke or Virginia if they win out
Longer shots if its not from those four: Kansas if they win the Big 12 tourney, Michigan or Wisconsin if they win out
Very long shot if lots of upsets: Villanova or Creighton if they win out

[NashvilleDevil]

Locked in: Wichita St, Florida
Very likely: Arizona, Duke or Virginia if they win out
Longer shots if its not from those four: Kansas if they win the Big 12 tourney, Michigan or Wisconsin if they win out
Very long shot if lots of upsets: Villanova or Creighton if they win out

For some reason Villanova is getting a lot of mention as a 1 seed. I think they've got a better shot than Duke does.

[tommy]

For some reason Villanova is getting a lot of mention as a 1 seed. I think they've got a better shot than Duke does.

I'd take being a 2 in their region.

[CDu]

#1 Seeds: Florida, Arizona, Wichita State, TBD

Final Four: Florida, Arizona, Louisville, TBD

Sleeper: Cincinatti

I reserve the right to watch the ACCT for the rest. No idea how the top four ACC teams will finish the season. Too up and down. All four have bad losses that are concerning.

I can tell you who won't be winning the ACC: UNC. I think this comes down to UVa and Duke.

[CDu]

For some reason Villanova is getting a lot of mention as a 1 seed. I think they've got a better shot than Duke does.

Yeah I can't understand it because they have beaten no one. But they are somehow in the mix.

[pfrduke]

Yeah I can't understand it because they have beaten no one. But they are somehow in the mix.

Well, except Kansas.

[CDu]

Well, except Kansas.

Well true. Of course they then got blown out by Syracuse and Creighton twice.

[Wander]

Villanova is ranked 4 in RPI, 4 in sagarin, 6 in kenpom, 6 in the human polls, and 6 in BPI. They have an excellent win away from home, a bunch of good wins away from home, won a good conference by multiple games, have a good strength of schedule, and have no losses to unranked teams. That's not the profile of a 1 seed lock, but how is that not the profile of a team legitimately in contention?

[Olympic Fan]

Villanova is ranked 4 in RPI, 4 in sagarin, 6 in kenpom, 6 in the human polls, and 6 in BPI. They have an excellent win away from home, a bunch of good wins away from home, won a good conference by multiple games, have a good strength of schedule, and have no losses to unranked teams. That's not the profile of a 1 seed lock, but how is that not the profile of a team legitimately in contention?

They beat Kansas and Iowa in the Battle for Atlantis back in November ... since they, their schedule has not been that impressive -- they have only played three top 25 RPI teams since (at Syracuse and two games with Creighton) and were blown out of all three.

I think they COULD be a No. 1 seed -- if they win the Big East Tournament. But if they lose to Creighton a third time in the title game, it's hard to see them as a No. 1.

Of course, you can say that about a lot of teams ... would Arizona or Kansas be in the mix with a tourney loss?

[gurufrisbee]

For some reason Villanova is getting a lot of mention as a 1 seed. I think they've got a better shot than Duke does.

If Nova wins whats left of the Big Least and Duke wins the ACC, Duke gets the #1 seed over them with no problem.

[dukelifer]

I'd take being a 2 in their region.

Lunardi has Duke a 2 in the West against Zona. Don't like that.

[NashvilleDevil]

Lunardi has Duke a 2 in the West against Zona. Don't like that.

Then Duke probably ends up somewhere else.

[Duke95]

Right now, we have solidified a 2 seed. If we lose early in the ACC tournament, we drop to a 3. If we win it, we have an outside claim at the last #1, though, frankly, we don't deserve it with 7 losses.
I think our most likely seed at this point is a 2. I'd welcome a 2 in Arizona's region, which is where I think we will end up. The NCAA loves a potential rematch like that.

[Troublemaker]

Right now, we have solidified a 2 seed. If we lose early in the ACC tournament, we drop to a 3. If we win it, we have an outside claim at the last #1, though, frankly, we don't deserve it with 7 losses.
I think our most likely seed at this point is a 2. I'd welcome a 2 in Arizona's region, which is where I think we will end up. The NCAA loves a potential rematch like that.

Duke could only end up out West if we're exactly the 4th-ranked #2 seed. (That is, exactly 8th on the overall bracket rankings).

[Duvall]

Duke could only end up out West if we're exactly the 4th-ranked #2 seed. (That is, exactly 8th on the overall bracket rankings).

That is attributing a degree of rationality to the Selection Committee not previously shown.

[gurufrisbee]

#2 with Arizona is not a bad spot. They aren't nearly the same team we lost to in NY. Ashley meant a lot of them. And the Pac 12 is still really weak. I wouldn't feel bad about being in a region with Arizona, Wichita State, or Florida. None of them have played a good team in months.

[Atlanta Duke]

Longer shots if its not from those four: Kansas if they win the Big 12 tourney, Michigan or Wisconsin if they win out

Committee is going to have to figure out what to do with this information

Embiid will fly to California to see a back specialist on Monday morning.

http://collegebasketballtalk.nbcspor...onday/related/

I suppose Kansas could get underseeded, but I see them as a #2 even with Embiid perhaps sitting this week - that is one team I would not want Duke to have to play any sooner than the regional championship (ideally Duke stays out of the Florida and Kansas regions, although a Parker v. Wiggins rematch would be epic)

My four #1 seeds - Florida, Wichita State, Villanova, and Arizona

[TexHawk]

Committee is going to have to figure out what to do with this information

Embiid will fly to California to see a back specialist on Monday morning.

http://collegebasketballtalk.nbcspor...onday/related/

Word around the campfire is that he's been cleared by the KU medical staff, and there is no risk of further injury if he plays. Embiid (and/or his family) want a 2nd opinion on that, given that he's likely the #1 pick in the NBA draft if he wants to be. Nothing wrong with that, imo. Millions of dollars could be at stake.

Personally, I would like him back for the Big12 tournament, but he doesn't need to play 3 games in 3 days (if we win, of course). With the long week off for the NCAA tournament, and no back-to-backs, he should be fine there.