Tiger's first round was certainly disappointing, particularly given how he dominated the field just one week ago at Firestone.
The double-bogey finish was very easily avoidable. After he hit his drive into the deep stuff, he could've just hit a shot down the fairway. He could easily have left himself in gap wedge range from a perfect lie. From there, bogey would likely have been the worst possible outcome, and par was certainly possible. Instead, he tried to hit a miracle shot onto the green, which left him in very deep greenside rough, eventually leading to the double bogey. It was a very old-school Phil-like thing to do.
Still, I'd say it's too early to count him completely out, and I think the insistence that he'll never win another major is kind of ridiculous. He might not, but to be confident of that borders on crazy, IMO.
"We are not provided with wisdom, we must discover it for ourselves, after a journey through the wilderness which no one else can take for us, an effort which no one can spare us, for our wisdom is the point of view from which we come at last to regard the world." --M. Proust