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  1. #1

    ACC Efficiency Rankings (Week 7) - Duke's Dominant everywhere.

    Your efficiency rankings for this week are below (for an explanation of these numbers, see the explanation HERE):


    Thoughts:

    1. Duke is the Master of both Offense and Defense: This shouldn't surprise anyone, but Duke is just utterly dominating the ACC in every aspect of the game. Duke has the best O in the conference as well as the best D, with the result being it's efficiency margin is basically DOUBLE that of the #2 team, UNC.

    For the record, Duke was #1 in O and D at the end of last year's conference play, but it's efficiency margin was lower (+0.18) than it is this year. Yes the ACC is down, but a team dominating the conference by this margin (almost as big as Texas' margin) really deserves far more credit than it's gotten. Instead we're underrated again. Sigh.

    2. State leaps GT into a more respectable 9th place. Not really significant, but with a not terrible game against MD and a good win against Clemson, State moved ahead of a collapsing GT and stays ahead of a Virginia team that picked up a nice win against VT.

    3. The efficiency rankings believe in you, VT and Clemson, but you're not doing yourselves any favors: Both VT and Clemson have simply not won the games they need to to stay on the right side of the bubble (VT losing to Virginia twice, Clemson losing to NC State and Virginia themselves). But they've essentially lost close games while trouncing opponents in wins. Over a longer season, you'd expect this to even out. But it's only a 16 game conference season and both teams have not won the games they have needed to.

    That said, if either team makes the tourney, it'll be a tougher out than people believe and could make it to the 2nd round.

    4. Boston College, if it makes the tournament, is a first round exit waiting to happen. I know, I know, I keep saying this. But it's still true. In reality, this was a good week for BC in these numbers, with a win by 4 and a loss by 2 putting it up a tiny smidge. That said, when a team 12 games into conference play is getting OUTSCORED, and not by a tiny amount, it is NOT a good team or really worthy of tournament contention.*

    *Odd Tangent: Also getting outscored in conference play? St. Johns. They're probably being overrated just a bit. That said, they face tougher competition in their conference and their overall efficiency numbers look a lot better than BC's.


    Meanwhile here are the Home/Away Efficiency splits of each team:



    Notice how Duke, who is the most efficient team at home and the most efficient team on the road, is actually almost as efficient on the road as they are at home...and that's including the FSU game! That's very very impressive. The only other team to perform virtually the same on the road as they do at home is Virginia...who plays poorly in both places. (Maryland is still better by a good bit on the road, but well...that's just odd).

    Meanwhile, poor Georgia Tech continues to be schizophrenic...they're fairly solid at home...but are just miserable on the road.
    <devildeac> anyone playing drinking games by now?
    7:49:36<Wander> drink every qb run?
    7:49:38<loran16> umm, drink every time asack rushes?
    7:49:38<wolfybeard> @devildeac: drink when Asack runs a keeper
    7:49:39 PM<CB&B> any time zack runs, drink

    Carolina Delenda Est

  2. #2
    Join Date
    Jun 2010
    Location
    Roxboro, NC
    Just curious, but it seems like the GT win over UNC was an extreme oddity and I wonder how it is effecting UNC's #s. Would UNC be a lot closer to us without that 20 point outlier? Obviously they would be closer, but how much of a difference does it make?

    Or do the BC and Wake games show that UNC is still a team capable of a loss like that.

  3. #3
    Quote Originally Posted by nocilla View Post
    Just curious, but it seems like the GT win over UNC was an extreme oddity and I wonder how it is effecting UNC's #s. Would UNC be a lot closer to us without that 20 point outlier? Obviously they would be closer, but how much of a difference does it make?

    Or do the BC and Wake games show that UNC is still a team capable of a loss like that.
    UNC's efficiency margin would go from .103 to .139. It's a decent difference, but they'd still be a good bit away from Duke.
    <devildeac> anyone playing drinking games by now?
    7:49:36<Wander> drink every qb run?
    7:49:38<loran16> umm, drink every time asack rushes?
    7:49:38<wolfybeard> @devildeac: drink when Asack runs a keeper
    7:49:39 PM<CB&B> any time zack runs, drink

    Carolina Delenda Est

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