No. 1, I wouldn't count the Smurfs out just yet. It's a NEW kids franchise, and one that a LOT of adults are familiar with and loved as kids. Moms ESPECIALLY will be drawn to this one. I think its chances will depend on what it's up against.
No 2., I think we have a BETTER chance of someone going 5/5 this coming summer. Since there won't be a real dark horse for people to over think, you'll probably get a decent spread across all the movies. Depending on how many vote, I'd bet SOMEBODY scores a 5 this summer, unless a true dark horse you don't even put up there makes it. Maybe you should put a choice for "the field", this summer, since there will be tons of blockbusters and basically nobody in the field will have a shot, unless I want to vote for the Smurfs.