Folks,
The
Matt Winn will be raced at Churchill Downs on Saturday, Race 10.
It looks like it could be an interesting betting race:
http://www.brisnet.com/php/bw_pdf_vi...param3=1353400
Here are the Past Performances, courtesy of Briswatch.
There are 4 horses in the "Top 20" (which changes every week) that can be considered here:
Maxfield, a top 2YO last year was going to be one of the favorites in the Breeder's Cup, but was sidelined with a bone-chip off of a maiden win (at this track - CD) and a Monster Grade I win in the Breeder's Futurity in Kentucky (at Keeneland) earning him the highest speed figure in this field, and
High Weight by 5 lbs over each and every other horse running. But he has had 11 workouts on his way back from a bone chip (not a hairline fracture, break, or soft tissue injury). A knock against him in this race is that there are no obvious pace setters for this come from behind horse, and he has the outside 10 post in a field of 12. But he won't get trapped. He hasn't raced in 7 months. What's not to like.
Pneumatic is the #2 horse, has just as many races as Maxfield, and is undefeated. But neither win was a stakes race. But he was way wide in each race. Talented horse will take a step up in this race.
NY Traffic is the #6. He finished a very respectable 2nd to Wells Bayou in the Louisiana Derby. But Wells Bayou got caught in a speed duel and didn't look super in the Arkansas Derby. Most horses are looking pedestrian next to Nadal these days. This horse is probably fit and is sitting on a good race if he gets a good position. With Paco Lopez aboard, he will likely get it.
Attachment Rate is the #11. He gets checks and is a very good horse. He has 5 starts, but only one win. He gets John Velasquez, which is a step up from Louis Saez. Maybe hits the Exotics.
I think Maxfield and NY Traffic are the class of this field, but anything can happen if you don't have a rabbit for these two. NY Traffic has shown some speed, or the #4 Celtic Striker is another possibility.
Larry
DevilHorse