Yes, but how many "Roll Tide" votes will he lose? :)
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Let's Go Virginia!!!
Well, not UVA, but the state will interesting to watch next week.
https://www.yahoo.com/news/virginia-...101751653.htmlQuote:
Virginia is one of only four states holding legislative elections this year and the only one where partisan control of the legislature is considered at risk.
Democrats hold a 20-19 majority in Virginia's Senate, while Republicans have a 51-48 majority in the House of Delegates, with one vacancy in each chamber.
The Virginia results also will offer bragging rights for both national parties and hints about the mood of voters ahead of next year's general election between Trump and the eventual Democratic nominee.
538 runs down the democrats prospects for taking the senate back in 2020. Not much new here but a good summary of where things are: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features...ok-vulnerable/
I found this chart to be interesting (not the whole chart, I chopped off the very top and very bottom):
https://i.ibb.co/bdV49FG/Capture.png
Another story about Virginia, and a look at how voters in suburbia may effect the elections nationally.
https://www.yahoo.com/news/anti-trum...041830629.htmlQuote:
Virginia Republican Corey Stewart, an unapologetic Trump loyalist who was beaten badly in last year's U.S. Senate race, suggested Trump would help his party by rallying the base in Virginia in what is expected to be a relatively low-turnout election. Still, he feared that the elections could be "a complete rout" for Republicans.
"Things are so bad right now in Virginia for a Republican like me," Stewart said. "Things are moving in the wrong direction in the suburbs."
NC begins work on redrawing their gerrymandered maps today. The courts ruled that they must be changed before the next elections.
https://www.witn.com/content/news/La...564499581.html
This is not meant to be a partisan comment, just a comment on the echo chamber nature of politics today and would equally apply to a Democrat from a Midwest state that turned to Trump.
Has Stewart thought that perhaps the Republicans and his politics might be moving away from the suburbs instead of the suburbs moving away from him? Just a thought.
Well, if he believes his way is the right way then the suburbs are moving away from the correct path. Politics is not all about triangulating the most electoral position, sometimes it is about finding a principle you believe in and doing your best to make that into the law of the land.
-Jason "I just re-read my second line and am actually laughing out loud... sigh" Evans
Huge blue wins in Va tonight. (And Kentucky)
I'm sure Mitch is smelling coffee this morning. Bevin ran the end of his campaign as anti-impeachment (even though he can't do a damn thing about that as Governor), much as Mitch has been running his lately. In fact, he has an add out saying send in money since he's the only one that can stop it.
That plan didn't work out so well for Bevin. He went national, Beshear went local, eschewing national issues and politicians in favor of focusing on the the local problems that Kentucky faces.
It worked, and it worked well. I wonder how many other GOP races will take note of that, and possibly shift their tactics. (My guess is not many.)
This is a good observation, particularly for a Dem trying to get elected in a deep red state like Kentucky. Most politicians that end up in DC and come down with Potomac Fever eventually overweight the importance of national issues in their states/districts and I suspect "protect Trump from impeachment" isn't as resonate a message as the messages Trump ran and won on. OTOH, my county has been historically majority red but with substantial blue. It's suburbs in the East, rural in the West, and a mix in between. The last two elections have seen a blue sweep and now almost every county elected office is controlled by a Dem. Several of the county commissioners ran ads about how they were standing up to Donald Trump. County. Commissioners. My sense - at least around these parts - is that Dems have received the message loud and clear that they ignored local elections while Republicans slowly started to run on the local and state machinery.
I like this take. As the same time, I'm wary of believing any longer that tactics actually matter. Hyde-Smith celebrated lynching during her Senate run, and now she's a Senator. So I'd like to believe tactics matter, but I've seen too much of 2015-19 to be secure in that.
Trump tweeted this morning that the Kentucky result was good news for Mitch's re-election. There was no explanation given for his thinking on this.
Seriously, I had to look and make sure it was not a parody account.
Sometimes a surprising defeat can rally the troops for the next go around. See the Tea Party ascension during Obama's presidency and everything that's happened since Trump's victory gobsmacked 66M voters. I could see that happening in KY --- in the last cycle, McConnell received nearly 900,000 votes, 200K more than Bevin received. So, there's a lot of room for turnout there...
...that'd be my guess, anyway.
FWIW I think I figured out what he meant. Trump tweeted around midnight last night that R's (because of him) "won 5 out of 6 elections in Kentucky," and that he helped Bevin "pick[] up at least 15 points in the last days."
Which of course is wrong -- polls had Bevin about 5 points up about a week before Trump campaigned for him. But, Trump.