College Football Playoff 2015

So the final four are announced:

1. Clemson vs. No. 4 Oklahoma in the Orange Bowl

2. Alabama vs. No. 3 Michigan State in the Cotton Bowl.

No real controversy, although the fact Michigan State jumped Oklahoma does rob the Sooner fans of a regional game (they would have played in the Cotton Bowl at No. 3).

Sets up two interesting matchups -- a year ago Clemson annihilated Oklahoma, 40-6, in the Citrus Bowl. Also, a year ago, top-seeded Alabama was upset by the Big Ten Champ in the semifinals.

Here's five thirty-eight's take on the probabilities, based on its model:

Code:

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TEAM              Final        Championship
Oklahoma        66%        41%
Alabama          68%        34%
Clemson          34%        15%
Michigan St.        32%        10%

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No love for Clemson or Michigan State -- both are two-to-one underdogs. I dunno. I think it will be Clemson vs. Alabama in the final. I think Clemson has played a tougher schedule than Oklahoma, plus having no losses.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by sagegrouse

Here's five thirty-eight's take on the probabilities, based on its model:

Code:

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TEAM              Final        Championship
Oklahoma        66%        41%
Alabama          68%        34%
Clemson          34%        15%
Michigan St.        32%        10%

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No love for Clemson or Michigan State -- both are two-to-one underdogs. I dunno. I think it will be Clemson vs. Alabama in the final. I think Clemson has played a tougher schedule than Oklahoma, plus having no losses.

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