Originally Posted by
uh_no
Given duke's record against the spread under cut (i don't have the exact number, but if i recall, it's unnaturally good), i'm not sure lines or projections are necessarily the right metric to measure ourselves against. This stems from the history of duke footballl, and bettors (or media) not taking the time to actually evaluate the team. One could also argue the projected number of wins is so low because duke has not demonstrated recently that they can consistently perform up to the potential of the talent on the roster, and that gets baked in. Either way, it makes it somewhat dubious to evaluate a program thusly.
On the other hand,. as was pointed out earlier, we have similar recruiting numbers to teams who have recently consistently finished better than us recently. That I think is a bit of a more important indicator. We shouldn't be getting blown out by syracuse, or consistently losing to wake, or losing every 50/50 game given what we put on the field, but we did this year, and the story is similar the past couple of years.