Originally Posted by
JasonEvans
There are no-winner-take-all states in the Democratic race. All delegates are awarded proportionally to any candidate who gets more than 15% in a district or state-wide. As a result, it is entirely possible that even if there is a clear front-runner, that person may not get enough delegates to win on the first ballot if we see 3 or more candidates still in the running through the end of March.
Take this scenario-- Buttigieg is consistently winning 40% of the vote, Warren is getting 25%, and Sanders and Klobuchar/Biden are each getting about 15% through the end of March. If Sanders or someone else decided to stick around through the convention and Buttigieg (or whoever is leading) is winning states 60-40 or 70-30, it is almost certain the front-runner won't have enough delegates to win on the first ballot. It could be a mess**
-Jason "**- could be, but I suspect it won't be as there would be a clear choice made by the voters and I am all but certain the convention would make that person the nominee on the second ballot" Evans