Conference Resumes Update
Hey. Here is an updated version of the conference resumes after the weekend's games.
The week over week changes are fairly minor this week, with Wake slipping and Virginia Tech improving.
I modified one of the columns (Good Wins) to better reflect what the Team Sheets that the Selection Committee uses are expected to include. Top tier Quad 1 Wins are defined as Home wins against a Top 15 NET team, Neutral court wins against a Top 25 team, or Road wins against a Top 40 team. That change, along with slippage from teams that are on the border of being Top 25 teams, eliminates some of the Good Wins. Duke has zero Good Wins now, and Virginia and Miami are down to one. Strangely, the team that looks a little better using this metric is Pittsburgh, who has some road wins against teams barely in the Top 40 (NC State, Northwestern).
For a more complete example of the Team Sheets, here is a link to one for Duke:
https://www.warrennolan.com/basketba...heet?team=Duke
The current cut line for the ACC looks to be Virginia Tech (probably in the First Four in Dayton) probably in the bracket, with Wake likely outside the bracket. Palm's projections are showing that 8 ACC teams would make the field, with Wake and Syracuse being left out.
As usual, by the team you read this some numbers will have changed.
Team |
Net |
KenPom |
Quad 1 |
Quad 2 |
Good Wins (H 1-15, N 1-25, A 1-4) |
Bad Losses (Quad 3 & 4) |
ACC Projection |
NCAA Tourney % |
Projected Seed |
UVA |
15 |
13 |
4-3 |
2-0 |
Baylor (13 N) |
None |
15-5 |
100.0% |
4.1 |
Duke |
24 |
28 |
3-6 |
2-0 |
None |
None |
12-8 |
95.2% |
7.1 |
UNC |
32 |
31 |
1-6 |
5-0 |
None |
None |
13-7 |
91.1% |
7.7 |
NC State |
38 |
52 |
3-4 |
3-1 |
None |
None |
13-7 |
89.2% |
8.8 |
Miami |
46 |
39 |
4-4 |
1-0 |
Virginia (15 H) |
Georgia Tech (216 A) |
13-7 |
91.0% |
8.0 |
VA Tech |
51 |
50 |
2-4 |
3-3 |
None |
Boston College (194 A) |
9-11 |
47.0% |
9.5 |
Clemson |
59 |
59 |
3-2 |
4-0 |
None |
South Carolina (273 A), Loyola Chicago (279 N) |
15-5 |
49.7% |
10.2 |
Pitt |
62 |
67 |
3-2 |
4-4 |
Virginia (15 H), NC State (38 A), Northwestern (39 A) |
Florida State (201 H) |
14-6 |
38.4% |
10.2 |
Wake |
72 |
74 |
2-5 |
2-2 |
None |
LSU (136 N) |
11-9 |
8.9% |
10.9 |
Syracuse |
100 |
86 |
0-4 |
1-3 |
None |
Colgate (106 H), Bryant (179 H) |
10-10 |
0.5% |
12.3 |