Channel Swimmer
01-10-2020, 06:57 AM
Apologies if this has brought up before other than Barry's article on Duke and Miami's success thus far on the road (https://www.dukebasketballreport.com/2020/1/8/21056359/on-the-road-again-acc-basketball-road-games-duke-blue-devils-miami-hurricanes), but so far this year it's seeming to go a lot deeper than that. As Barry attests, winning on the road in the ACC is normally a rare and impressive feat, so what are we to make of what has happened thus far in the 2019/20 season?
So far this season home teams are an eye-popping 13-18 in ACC games - that's a winning pct of just .419! Last year the home record in ACC games was 80-55 (.592) with only UNC (7-2 home / 9-0 road) having a better record away than at home. Yes, it's still early but 13 of the 15 teams have already posted ACC road wins, including Pitt who ended a 22-game ACC road losing streak (dating back to a Feb'17 win at BC - their only road win of that season) with Wednesday's victory in Chapel Hill. Dare we believe the perfect 59-0 home record UNC boasts against Clemson is in jeopardy tomorrow? UNC hasn't lost more than 2 home games in any ACC campaign since 2015 (5-4) and hasn't had a losing record at home in ACC play in a decade (3-5 in 2010) but already they're 1-2 at home with home games against Duke, UVA and NC St still to come. Lose that Clemson game and it could be 2010 all over again!
But I digress - this isn't about UNC's woes (as much as I seem drawn to look at that...) The two teams without road wins so far (UNC and Clemson) have each only played 1 game. Besides the road-winless Tar Heels and Tigers, only UVA, FSU and BC have better home records than road records (ok, I admit that stat suffers greatly from small sample size). Home teams lost the 1st 3 games of the ACC regular season (way back on Nov 5!) and though they won 3 of 4 the next day, there hasn't been a single point this season when the overall home winning pct has risen to .500. The differences haven't been huge: November went 3-4, it was 8-9 at year-end, but so far in January rather than re-asserting the advantage, home teams have started just 5-9.
The home teams are expected (by KP) to go 4.3 - 2.7 this weekend and are favoured in 5 of the 7 games. But the 3rd most certain home win is UNC over Clemson (69%) so as GT and Pitt can attest, this year anything can happen!
Road wins so far this year:
11/5 GT 82 NCS 81 (OT)
11/5 LU 87 UM 74
11/5 VT 67 CL 60
11/6 DU 77 VT 63
12/7 NCS 91 WF 82
12/7 BC 73 ND 72
12/7 SU 97 GT 63
12/31 UM 73 CL 68 (OT)
1/4 ND 88 SU 87
1/4 GT 96 UNC 83
1/4 FSU 78 LU 65
1/4 WF 69 PT 65
1/4 DU 95 UM 62
1/7 VT 67 SU 63
1/8 FSU 78 WF 68
1/8 PT 73 UNC 65
1/8 DU 73 GT 64
So far this season home teams are an eye-popping 13-18 in ACC games - that's a winning pct of just .419! Last year the home record in ACC games was 80-55 (.592) with only UNC (7-2 home / 9-0 road) having a better record away than at home. Yes, it's still early but 13 of the 15 teams have already posted ACC road wins, including Pitt who ended a 22-game ACC road losing streak (dating back to a Feb'17 win at BC - their only road win of that season) with Wednesday's victory in Chapel Hill. Dare we believe the perfect 59-0 home record UNC boasts against Clemson is in jeopardy tomorrow? UNC hasn't lost more than 2 home games in any ACC campaign since 2015 (5-4) and hasn't had a losing record at home in ACC play in a decade (3-5 in 2010) but already they're 1-2 at home with home games against Duke, UVA and NC St still to come. Lose that Clemson game and it could be 2010 all over again!
But I digress - this isn't about UNC's woes (as much as I seem drawn to look at that...) The two teams without road wins so far (UNC and Clemson) have each only played 1 game. Besides the road-winless Tar Heels and Tigers, only UVA, FSU and BC have better home records than road records (ok, I admit that stat suffers greatly from small sample size). Home teams lost the 1st 3 games of the ACC regular season (way back on Nov 5!) and though they won 3 of 4 the next day, there hasn't been a single point this season when the overall home winning pct has risen to .500. The differences haven't been huge: November went 3-4, it was 8-9 at year-end, but so far in January rather than re-asserting the advantage, home teams have started just 5-9.
The home teams are expected (by KP) to go 4.3 - 2.7 this weekend and are favoured in 5 of the 7 games. But the 3rd most certain home win is UNC over Clemson (69%) so as GT and Pitt can attest, this year anything can happen!
Road wins so far this year:
11/5 GT 82 NCS 81 (OT)
11/5 LU 87 UM 74
11/5 VT 67 CL 60
11/6 DU 77 VT 63
12/7 NCS 91 WF 82
12/7 BC 73 ND 72
12/7 SU 97 GT 63
12/31 UM 73 CL 68 (OT)
1/4 ND 88 SU 87
1/4 GT 96 UNC 83
1/4 FSU 78 LU 65
1/4 WF 69 PT 65
1/4 DU 95 UM 62
1/7 VT 67 SU 63
1/8 FSU 78 WF 68
1/8 PT 73 UNC 65
1/8 DU 73 GT 64