MarkD83
03-26-2018, 06:59 PM
So the day after a season ending loss is hard to deal with. There are many threads trying to understand / cope with the loss and also ones already looking forward to next year.
One of the common themes of whether one believes a season (2018) or any other is successful is expectations. So for 2019 I want to try something.
Starting now and going until the end of next year let's put some factual information into several categories.
Before a season starts we judge INDIVIDUAL talent. As any season progresses we see TEAM offensive and TEAM defensive trends. How your team matches up with other teams dictates whether your team wins a game (especially in the NCAA tournament). Good teams will take away strengths and force their opponent to win with their weaknesses.
So let's try to put some factual and some expert opinions for 2019 into several categories:
INDIVIDUAL OFFENSIVE TALENT
INDIVIDUAL DEFENSIVE TALENT
TEAM OFFENSIVE TALENT
TEAM DEFENSIVE TALENT
TEAM WEAKNESSES
TEAM STRENGTHS
----------------------------------------
1) Right now ESPN (and other expert opinions) rank Duke's freshmen as 1,2,3 and 12. This is mostly based on INDIVIDUAL OFFENSIVE TALENT
That is all we know about next year's team so my expectations are low. They are higher than if we had no talent but I have no way to judge any team based characteristics...
So what about information in any of the other categories...
BTW I did this on my own over the past 3-4 years and it has made each year more fun and made end of year losses easier to take since my expectations never got too high.
One of the common themes of whether one believes a season (2018) or any other is successful is expectations. So for 2019 I want to try something.
Starting now and going until the end of next year let's put some factual information into several categories.
Before a season starts we judge INDIVIDUAL talent. As any season progresses we see TEAM offensive and TEAM defensive trends. How your team matches up with other teams dictates whether your team wins a game (especially in the NCAA tournament). Good teams will take away strengths and force their opponent to win with their weaknesses.
So let's try to put some factual and some expert opinions for 2019 into several categories:
INDIVIDUAL OFFENSIVE TALENT
INDIVIDUAL DEFENSIVE TALENT
TEAM OFFENSIVE TALENT
TEAM DEFENSIVE TALENT
TEAM WEAKNESSES
TEAM STRENGTHS
----------------------------------------
1) Right now ESPN (and other expert opinions) rank Duke's freshmen as 1,2,3 and 12. This is mostly based on INDIVIDUAL OFFENSIVE TALENT
That is all we know about next year's team so my expectations are low. They are higher than if we had no talent but I have no way to judge any team based characteristics...
So what about information in any of the other categories...
BTW I did this on my own over the past 3-4 years and it has made each year more fun and made end of year losses easier to take since my expectations never got too high.