College Football Playoff 2015

[Olympic Fan]

So the final four are announced:

1. Clemson vs. No. 4 Oklahoma in the Orange Bowl

2. Alabama vs. No. 3 Michigan State in the Cotton Bowl.

No real controversy, although the fact Michigan State jumped Oklahoma does rob the Sooner fans of a regional game (they would have played in the Cotton Bowl at No. 3).

Sets up two interesting matchups -- a year ago Clemson annihilated Oklahoma, 40-6, in the Citrus Bowl. Also, a year ago, top-seeded Alabama was upset by the Big Ten Champ in the semifinals.

[sagegrouse]

Here's five thirty-eight's take on the probabilities, based on its model:



TEAM Final Championship
Oklahoma 66% 41%
Alabama 68% 34%
Clemson 34% 15%
Michigan St. 32% 10%

No love for Clemson or Michigan State -- both are two-to-one underdogs. I dunno. I think it will be Clemson vs. Alabama in the final. I think Clemson has played a tougher schedule than Oklahoma, plus having no losses.

[brevity]

Here's five thirty-eight's take on the probabilities, based on its model:



TEAM Final Championship
Oklahoma 66% 41%
Alabama 68% 34%
Clemson 34% 15%
Michigan St. 32% 10%

No love for Clemson or Michigan State -- both are two-to-one underdogs. I dunno. I think it will be Clemson vs. Alabama in the final. I think Clemson has played a tougher schedule than Oklahoma, plus having no losses.

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