A DBR preseason list

[JNort]

So before the year gets to much farther underway how about one last preseason list? Any takers on who will lead the team in each of the following categories by the end of the year? Just copy and paste with your guesses and we can review at the end of the year with the actual results.

Minutes played:

Points:

Rebounds:

Assists:

Steals:

Blocks:

Turnovers:

FT attempts:

FG% (Min 75 shots):

FT% (Min 30 attempts):

3pt% (Min 30 shots):

Shots taken:



* This is on a per game basis not season total.

[JNort]

Minutes played: Quinn Cook

Points: Seth Curry

Rebounds: Mason Plumlee

Assists: Quinn Cook

Steals: Seth Curry

Blocks: Mason Plumlee

Turnovers: Mason Plumlee

FT attempts: Mason Plumlee

FG% (Min 75 shots): Mason Plumlee

FT% (Min 30 attempts): Seth Curry

3pt% (Min 30 shots): Rasheed

Shots taken: Seth Curry

[Native]

Minutes played: Ryan Kelly

Points: Ryan Kelly

Rebounds: Mason Plumlee

Assists: Quinn Cook

Steals: Rasheed Sulaimon

Blocks: Alex Murphy

Turnovers: Quinn Cook

FT attempts: Mason Plumlee

FG% (Min 75 shots): Rasheed Sulaimon

FT% (Min 30 attempts): Ryan Kelly

3pt% (Min 30 shots): Seth Curry

Shots taken: Seth Curry

[JNort]

Minutes played: Ryan Kelly

Steals: Rasheed Sulaimon

Blocks: Alex Murphy


FG% (Min 75 shots): Rasheed Sulaimon




I really considered Ryan for mins played as well because we do not have a lot of quality big man depth and I think Mason will foul more and get pulled leaving Ryan out longer. I did not even think of Sheed for steals (I feel stupid now). I also considered Alex for blocks because in the blue/white game he got 3 and in the exhibition game I know he got a couple as well. So why did you pick Sheed for FG%? I tend to shy away from the guards and favor the bigger guys and also guys who don't shoot a lot of 3's.

[Native]

I really considered Ryan for mins played as well because we do not have a lot of quality big man depth and I think Mason will foul more and get pulled leaving Ryan out longer. I did not even think of Sheed for steals (I feel stupid now). I also considered Alex for blocks because in the blue/white game he got 3 and in the exhibition game I know he got a couple as well. So why did you pick Sheed for FG%? I tend to shy away from the guards and favor the bigger guys and also guys who don't shoot a lot of 3's.

Just a hunch, I guess. Seems pretty efficient in the way that he can get to the rim. Your line of thinking is definitely correct though. I'd probably go with Mason if not Sheed for FG%.

[Cameron]

Minutes played: Ryan Kelly

Points: Ryan Kelly

Rebounds: Mason Plumlee

Assists: Quinn Cook

Steals: Rasheed Sulaimon

Blocks: Mason Plumlee

Turnovers: Quinn Cook

FT attempts: Mason Plumlee or Alex Murphy

FG% (Min 75 shots): Mason Plumlee

FT% (Min 30 attempts): Seth Curry

3pt% (Min 30 shots): Ryan Kelly

Shots taken: Seth Curry

[Newton_14]

I really considered Ryan for mins played as well because we do not have a lot of quality big man depth and I think Mason will foul more and get pulled leaving Ryan out longer.

The problem with that theory is that Mason does not foul as much as people think, and he and Ryan are pretty much equal in the foul department. If Ryan leads the team in mpg, it likely will not be because Mason fouling more than Ryan. Below are the stats from last year. In fouls per minute, Mason and Ryan were almost dead even. I threw in the stats from the other two guys that played a lot of minutes last year as well.


Player Games Minutes PF DQ PFG PFM
Mason 34 964 86 1 2.52 11.20
Ryan 31 803 71 1 2.29 11.30
Tyler 34 717 95 4 2.79 7.54
Seth 34 1026 73 2 2.14 14.05

[nocilla]

Minutes played: Seth Curry

Points: Seth Curry

Rebounds: Mason Plumlee

Assists: Quinn Cook

Steals: Seth Curry

Blocks: Mason Plumlee

Turnovers: Mason Plumlee

FT attempts: Mason Plumlee

FG% (Min 75 shots): Mason Plumlee

FT% (Min 30 attempts): Seth Curry

3pt% (Min 30 shots): Ryan Kelly

Shots taken: Seth Curry

[Dev11]

Minutes played: Quinn Cook

Points: Mason Plumlee

Rebounds: Mason Plumlee

Assists: Quinn Cook

Steals: Seth Curry

Blocks: Ryan Kelly

Turnovers: Quinn Cook

FT attempts: Mason Plumlee

FG% (Min 75 shots): Mason Plumlee

FT% (Min 30 attempts): Seth Curry

3pt% (Min 30 shots): Rasheed Sulaimon

Shots taken: Mason Plumlee

I believe in Mason Plumlee.

[Delaware]

Minutes played: Kelly

Points: Curry

Rebounds: Mason

Assists: Cook

Steals: Curry

Blocks: Mason

Turnovers:Mason

FT attempts: Mason

FG% (Min 75 shots): Kelly

FT% (Min 30 attempts): Mason

3pt% (Min 30 shots): Curry

Shots taken: Curry

[Li_Duke]

Minutes played: Mason Plumlee (no more Miles + injured Marshall)

Points: Seth Curry

Rebounds: Mason Plumlee

Assists: Quinn Cook

Steals: Seth Curry

Blocks: Mason Plumlee

Turnovers: Mason Plumlee

FT attempts: Mason Plumlee

FG% (Min 75 shots): Mason Plumlee

FT% (Min 30 attempts): Seth Curry

3pt% (Min 30 shots): Ryan Kelly

Shots taken: Seth Curry

[NSDukeFan]

Minutes played: Ryan Kelly

Points: Seth Curry

Rebounds: Mason Plumlee

Assists: Quinn Cook

Steals: Seth Curry

Blocks: Mason Plumlee

Turnovers: Quinn Cook

FT attempts: Mason Plumlee

FG% (Min 75 shots): Mason Plumlee

FT% (Min 30 attempts): Ryan Kelly

3pt% (Min 30 shots): Seth Curry

Shots taken: Seth Curry

[dragoneye776]

Minutes played: Mason Plumlee

Points: Ryan Kelly

Rebounds: Mason Plumlee

Assists: Quinn Cook

Steals: Rasheed Sulaimon

Blocks: Mason Plumlee

Turnovers: Quinn Cook

FT attempts: Amile Jefferson

FG% (Min 75 shots): Mason Plumlee

FT% (Min 30 attempts): Seth Curry

3pt% (Min 30 shots): Ryan Kelly

Shots taken: Ryan Kelly

[COYS]

Minutes played: Seth Curry (assuming we mean minutes per game instead of total as there is I guess a slight possibility he'll miss a game or two early in the season)

Points: Seth Curry

Rebounds: Mason Plumlee

Assists: Quinn Cook

Steals: Rasheed Sulaimon

Blocks: Mason Plumlee

Turnovers: Quinn Cook

FT attempts: Mason Plumlee

FG% (Min 75 shots): Mason Plumlee

FT% (Min 30 attempts): Seth Curry

3pt% (Min 30 shots): Ryan Kelly

Shots taken: Seth Curry

There's not much risk taking on my part with these projections, in my opinion. There were only a few that I struggled with. The fact that Mason will get fouled simply by taking a lot of shots in the basket area plus the fact that opponents will want to make him earn his points at the line means that I think Mason is a safe bet to lead in FT attempts. Meanwhile, in terms of 3pt.% and scoring, I think Seth will have just a slightly higher ppg average while Ryan will have a slightly better 3pt.%. Seth will get a few more shots 'cause he'll have the ball in his hands a bit more, but he will also be less selective than Ryan about launching from three point range, so I think Ryan edges Seth on raw percentage but I also predict that Ryan's total attempts from deep will also be a lot lower. As for scoring, Seth wins it with Ryan and Mason behind him in that order. Mason will have the ball in his hands more this season, but this will translate into only a slightly higher point total but a much higher assist total for him. He's always been a good passer. With three years to fully acclimate to college, I think the game will slow down for him enough that his passing ability will be a real asset.

Steals is the other tough one, as I think that there's no doubt that Rasheed will be a pest on defense. The only question I have is whether or not his minutes will be high enough for what I suspect will be the best steal % on the team to compensate for what will probably be at best the 4th most minutes (and quite possibly less). Seth or Quinn wins the battle for most steals if Rasheed doesn't.

[JNort]

(assuming we mean minutes per game instead of total as there is I guess a slight possibility he'll miss a game or two early in the season)




Yeah I said in the OP that it was on a per game basis. I guess if there is a tie though the best thing to do is go by season total.

[COYS]

Yeah I said in the OP that it was on a per game basis. I guess if there is a tie though the best thing to do is go by season total.

Ah yes, my bad. My students will be shocked to learn that I failed to read the directions thoroughly =).

[sagegrouse]

Here's my take:




Minutes played Kelly

Points Kelly

Rebounds Mason

Assists Quinn

Steals Seth

Blocks Mason

Turnovers Quinn

FT attempts Mason

FG% (Min 75) Kelly

FT% (Min 30) Seth

3pt% (Min 30) Kelly

Shots taken Kelly



My rationale is that Kelly will get more floor time than any of our four guards, and, therefore, will have more scoring opportunities. Mason will have equal oportunities but may have more foul issues.

sagegrouse

[jimrowe0]

Minutes played: Ryan Kelly

Points: Ryan Kelly

Rebounds: Mason Plumlee

Assists: Quinn Cook

Steals: Rasheed Sulaimon

Blocks: Mason Plumlee

Turnovers: Mason Plumlee

FT attempts: Ryan Kelly

FG% (Min 75 shots): Mason Plumlee

FT% (Min 30 attempts): Seth Curry

3pt% (Min 30 shots): Seth Curry

Shots taken: Seth Curry

[jv001]

Minutes Played: Mason
Points: Ryan
Rebounds: Mason
Assists: Quinn
Steals: Rasheed
Blocks: Mason
Turnovers: Mason
FT attempts: Mason
FG%(min 75 shots): Mason
FT % (min 30 shots): Ryan
3% (min. 30 shots): Rasheed
Shots taken: Ryan

I'm just not sure how Seth will play or how much he will play with his injury this year. So I did not use him for steals, Ft% and 3pt %. I hope he is 100% as we really need him. GoDuke!

[JNort]

Meant to update before Acc play just so we could compare before and after conference play. I might do it at the end of the season just so we got something to take up our time. But so far here is how it looks...

Minutes played: Mason (33.6) Quinn (33.2)

Points: Mason (17.5) Seth (16.4)

Rebounds: Mason (11.4) Ryan (5.4)

Assists: Quinn (6.2) Tyler (2.5)

Steals: Quinn (1.8) Tyler (1.6)

Blocks: Ryan (1.7) Mason (1.6)

Turnovers: Mason (2.8) Quinn (2.3)

FT attempts: Mason (7.687) Ryan (3.866)

FG% (Min 75 shots): Mason (62.1) Seth (47.7)

FT% (Min 30 attempts): Quinn (85.3) Seth (80.7)

3pt% (Min 30 shots): Ryan (52.1) Quinn (42.6)

Shots taken: Seth (11.466) Mason (10.06)

[JNort]

A DBR preseason list the FINAL results

Minutes played: 1st) Mason Plumlee (34.7) 2nd) Quinn Cook (33.6)

Points: 1st) Seth Curry (17.5) 2nd) Mason Plumlee (17.1)

Rebounds: 1st) Mason Plumlee (10) 2nd) Ryan Kelly (5.3)

Assists: 1st Quinn Cook (5.3) 2nd Tyler Thornton (2.2)

Steals: 1st Quinn Cook (1.4) 2nd Tyler Thornton (1.3)

Blocks: 1st Ryan Kelly (1.6) 2nd Mason Plumlee (1.4)

Turnovers: 1st Mason Plumlee (2.9) 2nd Quinn Cook (2.2)

FT attempts: 1st Mason Plumlee (7.05) 2nd Seth Curry (4.34)

FG% (Min 75 shots): 1st Mason Plumlee (59.9%) 2nd Amile Jefferson (54.3%)

FT% (Min 30 attempts): 1st Quinn Cook (87.7%) 2nd Ryan Kelly (81.2%)

3pt% (Min 30 shots): 1st Seth Curry (43.8%) 2nd Ryan Kelly (42.2%)

Shots taken: 1st Seth Curry (12.11) 2nd Mason Plumlee (10.25)



* This is on a per game basis not season total.





So any surprises on last years team? For me:

1. Quinn Cook took the 3rd most shots but only 6 fewer than Mason. (363 to 369)
2. Quinn Cook had the highest FT% only missing 9 all year (64 of 73)
3. Amile 2nd on the team in FG%

[dukejim1]

So before the year gets to much farther underway how about one last preseason list? Any takers on who will lead the team in each of the following categories by the end of the year? Just copy and paste with your guesses and we can review at the end of the year with the actual results.
Parker strong list

Minutes played: Parker

Points: Parker

Rebounds: Parker

Assists: Cook

Steals: Sulaimon

Blocks: Jefferson

Turnovers: Sulaimon

FT attempts: Parker

FG% (Min 75 shots): Jefferson

FT% (Min 30 attempts): Dawkins

3pt% (Min 30 shots):Dawkins

Shots taken:Parker



* This is on a per game basis not season total.

Parker will lead