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Olympic Fan
06-25-2012, 11:55 AM
I usually agree with the editorial comments of the front page articles on DBR, but the one today on Lorenzo Brown's surgery caught my eye:

State fans shouldn’t worry too much, because this is one of those relatively rare situations where incoming freshmen may be better than the guard(s) that are on hand and an injury may not be as big a deal as it would be otherwise.

I strongly disagree that Lewis and Purvis -- the incoming freshmen -- can and will be better for State next season that Brown. In the first place, Lorenzo Brown is a darn good player -- one who made the difficult transition from wing guard to point guard last season and by the end of the season may have been the best all-around point in the ACC (Kendall Marshall was a better, more valuable player, but he was one dimensional ... it's just that he was amazing in that one dimension).

Brown was an all-around player -- a good defender who averaged 12.7 ppg, 6.3 assists (second in the ACC to Marshall), 1.8 steals per game (best in the ACC), and a healthy 4.5 rebounds. He's one of the big reasons that NC State is being tossed around as a preseason top 10 pick and the preseason ACC favorite.

I can't see either Purvis or Lewis replacing that production. Purvis is an extremely talented player, but he's not a point guard -- he's even less of one that Duke-bound Rasheed Suliamon. I think there's a good chance that he takes CJ Williams' vacant wing guard position, but he can't replace Brown at the point.

Lewis can play the point. He's a natural playmaker. But he's 5-11, 160 pounds without great athleticism and without much scoring punch. He's going to replace the 6-5, 195-pound Brown? How's that goinf to work on the defensive end? If you saw Lewis play in high school, he's a nice prospect (no. 43 in the final rsci rankings), but his best-case-scenario is that he'll be another Wojo (although right now, he doesn't have the strength that Wojo had). And Wojo wasn't ready to lead an ACC contender as a freshman (indeed, he blossomed as a junior).

I think Brown's health is VITAL to NC State's high hopes for the 2013 season. He and CJ Leslie are their two ireeplaceable players.

The good news for State fans is that his injury does not appear too serious. It's reportedly not an ACL ... probably a meniscius tear. I'd be worried if this happened in February, but not in June. On the other hand, if he's sidelined for most of the offseason, that could impact the season -- Coach K recently talked about the impact that kind of layoff had on players such as Greg Paulus and Quinn Cook.

CDu
06-25-2012, 12:08 PM
I agree, and I'll add this: it's not just about the inability of Purvis and Lewis to replace Brown. The loss of Brown would also greatly affect their depth. With Brown, Purvis, and Lewis, the Pack have the flexibility to always have 2 strong ballhandlers on the court. Those 3 can rotate for basically all 80 minutes. That leaves Wood and Warren free to play completely off ball (with Warren perhaps also playing a bit at the PF spot in small lineups). If Brown is out, the Pack would have only one backup on the perimeter and only two guys on the team capable of handling the ball with any competence. That would be a critical loss. They'd go from a front-runner in the ACC and top-10-caliber team to probably a bit worse than last year (similar depth issues, much less experience in the backcourt, less versatility).

But from what I've heard from my State friends, it's not considered a major concern at this point. Just a bump in the summer road. It will be interesting to keep an eye on, but until we hear differently I'd not expect this to end up being a big deal.

jimsumner
06-25-2012, 12:35 PM
A healthy Lorenzo Brown is a legit first-team All-ACC player. Losing him for any significant amount of time would be a huge loss for the Pack.

Definitely something to monitor.

Slackerb
06-26-2012, 10:01 AM
I definitely disagree with that article on the frontpage. There's not a player in the ACC, freshman or otherwise, that could replace Lorenzo Brown.

His season stats are good, but he really came on fire the last part of the season.


Brown played his best basketball at the end of the 2011-12 season, scoring in double-figures in each of the final 14 games of the season. He nearly had a triple-double in the Pack’s opening NCAA tournament win over San Diego State with 17 points, nine rebounds and eight assists.


Brown's NCAA tourney averages:
14.5 points
7.5 assists
7.5 rebounds
1.5 steals
0.5 blocks