Kenpom coach résumés

[Duke05]

Ken Pomeroy just put together a set of interesting analyses on coaches and their statistical tendencies: link (http://kenpom.com/blog/index.php/weblog/coaching_resumes/).

While the analysis is most interesting for coaches who have moved around (the link above has several of them), here's Coach K / Duke: link (http://kenpom.com/history.php?c=Mike%20Kryzyzewski).

[Richard Berg]

Not surprising:
- we defend the 3 really, really well
- our overall efficiencies are generally stellar
- tempo fluctuates a lot with personnel
- JJ is good at free throws
- Zoubs was an OR% beast
- the '07 underclassmen turned the ball over a lot
- there really was something unique about Paulus + the '06 seniors. We all know that Greg never came close to defending his ACC assist title after his freshman year, but his predecessors in the backcourt were actually worse, despite having roughly the same offensive firepower on the receiving end of the ball.

Surprising:
- Shelden's teams were terrible at rebounding. Looks like all those blocks came at a high cost. 2006 is particularly confounding: we added McRoberts to the front line, yet got worse, especially at the offensive end. Only theory I have is that Markie (at barely 6-1) was even more critical on the boards than we realized. He was injured much of '06, but came back to average 5.4rpg the following year.

- The two years we truly "lived and died by the 3" were 2005 and 2008. Can't say I would have guessed those.

- It's hard to correlate defense with roster. Seems silly to argue that replacing the NDPOY with a bunch of frosh led to a big improvement! I think you can tease out a few correlations, though: Ewing and Scheyer good, King Taylor bad. Big men -- even dominant big men -- don't seem to matter as much in our scheme. At best, you might find evidence for McClure's health & maturation after redshirting, and Zoub's late career heroics.

[Dukeface88]

- The two years we truly "lived and died by the 3" were 2005 and 2008. Can't say I would have guessed those.



Small sample size, but there seems to a sweet spot at about 33% for 3 point attempts, at least recently. Results for those years - Elite Eight, Final Four, Championship. None of the other teams got out of the Sweet Sixteen.

Then again, in the 2000-2001 season 41.7% (!!!) of our FGs were treys according to goduke, so maybe not.

[hurleyfor3]

Mike Kryzyzewski? Who's he?

[Jderf]

What is really amazing -- and yet another testament to how impressive Coach K's career really has been -- is that since Kenpom starting tracking efficiency statistics in 2003, Krzyzewski's teams have finished in the top ten every year except two: in both 2007 and 2009 his teams finished a lowly 11th. That means that, since the beginning of tempo-based stats, Coach K has essentially produced one of the ten most efficient teams in the country every single year.

Ridiculous.

[Kfanarmy]

What is really amazing -- and yet another testament to how impressive Coach K's career really has been -- is that since Kenpom starting tracking efficiency statistics in 2003, Krzyzewski's teams have finished in the top ten every year except two: in both 2007 and 2009 his teams finished a lowly 11th. That means that, since the beginning of tempo-based stats, Coach K has essentially produced one of the ten most efficient teams in the country every single year.

Ridiculous. Can someone point out a legend where I can look at his color coding, etc?

[BobbyFan]

- Shelden's teams were terrible at rebounding. Looks like all those blocks came at a high cost.

It's scary to realize where we would have been without Shelden on the 2006 team. Opponents were getting into the lane with ease throughout the year. We were just as dependent on Shelden for defense as we were on JJ for offense.


- It's hard to correlate defense with roster. Seems silly to argue that replacing the NDPOY with a bunch of frosh led to a big improvement!

I think it just shows that the entire roster has to be looked at. We lost Shelden and Dockery, but got many more minutes out of DeMarcus (healthy) and McRoberts (now a soph), added Scheyer (better wing defender than anyone on 2006) and welcomed back McClure.

[ojaidave]

What is really amazing -- and yet another testament to how impressive Coach K's career really has been -- is that since Kenpom starting tracking efficiency statistics in 2003, Krzyzewski's teams have finished in the top ten every year except two: in both 2007 and 2009 his teams finished a lowly 11th. That means that, since the beginning of tempo-based stats, Coach K has essentially produced one of the ten most efficient teams in the country every single year.

Ridiculous.

The only column I see that matches your description above is for 3pt defense. With regards to efficiency, since 2003, K has had 5 teams ranked in the top 10 for offensive efficiency, 3 top 20 and one ranked all the way down to 40 in adjusted offensive efficiency. Defensively he's had 6 top ten teams and 3 in the top twenty. In the nine seasons tracked to date, he's had 3 teams that ranked top 10 in both categories. Seems this Krzyzewski guy can put together a team.

[Jderf]

What is really amazing -- and yet another testament to how impressive Coach K's career really has been -- is that since Kenpom started tracking efficiency statistics in 2003, Krzyzewski's teams have finished in the top ten every year except two: in both 2007 and 2009 his teams finished a lowly 11th. That means that, since the beginning of tempo-based stats, Coach K has essentially produced one of the ten most efficient teams in the country every single year.

Ridiculous.

The only column I see that matches your description above is for 3pt defense. With regards to efficiency, since 2003, K has had 5 teams ranked in the top 10 for offensive efficiency, 3 top 20 and one ranked all the way down to 40 in adjusted offensive efficiency. Defensively he's had 6 top ten teams and 3 in the top twenty. In the nine seasons tracked to date, he's had 3 teams that ranked top 10 in both categories. Seems this Krzyzewski guy can put together a team.

I was talking about kenpom's overall adjusted efficiency rankings from his main page, which for some reason are not listed on the coaching resume page. Check it out if you want: #9 in 2003 (http://kenpom.com/index.php?y=2003), #1 in 2004 (http://kenpom.com/index.php?y=2004), #3 in 2005 (http://kenpom.com/index.php?y=2005), #5 in 2006 (http://kenpom.com/index.php?y=2006), #11 in 2007 (http://kenpom.com/index.php?y=2007), #8 in 2008 (http://kenpom.com/index.php?y=2008), #11 in 2009 (http://kenpom.com/index.php?y=2009), #1 in 2010 (http://kenpom.com/index.php?y=2010), and #2 in 2011 (http://kenpom.com/index.php?y=2011). Pretty sure I got the numbers right, though copying them was a bit tedious so I may have missed something. In fact, those two #11s are especially suspicious. Real outliers. :D

Like I said above, ridiculous.