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View Full Version : Which CFB underdog(s) win tomorrow?



calltheobvious
11-28-2008, 08:21 PM
Using a handy tool I found, I punched in the pointspreads on all of the games tomorrow with BCS implications, plus Duke-UNC. The number that popped out says there's nearly a 2/3 chance that Duke or one of the BCS-implicated underdogs wins. For the record, these probabilities are estimates, and there are doubtless some other charts that would have slightly different conversions. Still, lots of cause for optimism tomorrow.


Auburn
Alabama -14.5 .825 = probability of favorite winning

Baylor
Texas Tech -21.5 .91

Florida -16.5 .875
Florida State

Oklahoma -7.5 .735
Oklahoma State

North Carolina -8 .725
Duke

Probability of all favorites winning = .35
Probability of something interesting happening = .65

(apologies for the jacked chart; no time to mess with the formatting)

wolfpackdevil
11-28-2008, 08:40 PM
Using a handy tool I found, I punched in the pointspreads on all of the games tomorrow with BCS implications, plus Duke-UNC. The number that popped out says there's nearly a 2/3 chance that Duke or one of the BCS-implicated underdogs wins. For the record, these probabilities are estimates, and there are doubtless some other charts that would have slightly different conversions. Still, lots of cause for optimism tomorrow.


Auburn
Alabama -14.5 .825 = probability of favorite winning

Baylor
Texas Tech -21.5 .91

Florida -16.5 .875
Florida State

Oklahoma -7.5 .735
Oklahoma State

North Carolina -8 .725
Duke

Probability of all favorites winning = .35
Probability of something interesting happening = .65

(apologies for the jacked chart; no time to mess with the formatting)



O man, I think this is going to be a BIG upset day for CFB.

I think that Duke will win a close, one possesion game.
I predict that Oklahoma State will win a big home game.

And Florida State will give their seniors a big senior night, and they will upset Florida.

This should set up these rankings next week:

1. Alabama
2. Texas
3. USC

Im very excited for tomorrow, Go DEVILS!!!!!!!

Wander
11-28-2008, 08:48 PM
Georgia Tech!

throatybeard
11-29-2008, 02:48 PM
Upset watch. At 1:45 CST

Georgia Tech, who looked like they'd get blown out, now leads 35-28. GT hasn't won this matchup since 2000.

In their bid for bowl eligibility, State leads Miami 28-21.

KU leads Mizzou 26-16.

South Carolina State is giving Appalachian a run for their money, 24-21 in the 4Q.