Duke Football and Coin Toss Futility

[LetItBD08]

So I think this was mentioned in passing on the ESPN360 telecast last week, but I checked the final books on goduke.com and Duke is now 0 for 10 in opening coin toss victories this year. That comes out to 1/2^10=1/1024=0.098% odds. Obviously a conspiracy against Duke. Full disclosure...they did in fact win the OT coin toss versus WF.

[III]

Even taking the WF overtime flip in to account, the probability of getting 1 in 11 is only 11/(2^11)=.537%. (that's less than a percent!).