Originally Posted by
JasonEvans
I hear ya, but it has a long way to go and I suspect it will start to peter out soon.
Currently, WW is at $318.3 mil. Guardians is at $380.2 mil. So, WW has $61.9 mil to go... though Guardians will continue to make some money, it made $3 mil this past weekend. I think Guardians ends up around $385-$390 mil. While WW is showing remarkable legs, I just don't think it will quite get there.
WW is going to start losing theaters soon as new blockbusters demand more seats. DM3, Baby Driver, and The House all open this week and will be in wide release (3000+ theaters each). Spider-man Homecoming hits next week. Up until now, WW has maintained its theater count. It was in 4165 theaters opening week and 3933 this week, an impressive hold after 4 weekends. But, those numbers are going to tumble as there simply isn't room for all the new films.
WW has also benefited from being seen as the only good movie in theaters. I mean, look at the other major films to come out since it was released: The Mummy, Cars 3, Rough Night, and Transformers 5. Ugh... With Baby Driver, DM3, and Spidey hitting theaters, WW won't be see as the only quality option. I also suspect Baby Driver and Spidey will target the same kind of audience that has been driving WW's boxoffice. The other recent releases simply haven't been the kind of films that could dent WW's fan base. That will not be the case starting this week.
I'm not saying it is impossible. Look, WW has posted remarkable holds the past couple weeks. It only dropped 29% in weekend #3 and only 39% in weekend #4, but I suspect it will stall out around $360-370 mil.
-Jason "given the great early buzz, is there any question Spidey will hit the upper $300s? I don't think so" Evans