after listening to the nc st thrashing today, i have to admit that the acc is looking more and more like a 3 bid league. unc is all but a lock for a 1 seed and duke probably can go 7-9 and still get in given the ooc wins. i'm assuming that clemson's bad loss this week was a blip and they will learn to hit some fts and slide in. other than that, i don't think there is a single team in the acc that looks like a tournament team. here's what i see:
nc st -- after today forget about it. they have an rpi of 59, horrible losses to new orleans and east carolina, the loss today that the whole nation saw and at most 1 win against an ncaat team (villanova). hello nit.
bc -- an rpi of 108, a horrible loss to robert morris and 1 win against an ncaat team (rhode island).
virginia -- an rpi of 73, no horrible losses to bad teams but the seton hall one wasn't very good and giving up 61 to xavier in the first half is damaging and 1 win against an ncaat team (arizona).
fsu -- an rpi of 36, bad losses to cleveland st and south florida and maybe 1 win against an ncaat team (florida).
maryland -- an rpi of 139, bad losses to american and ohio and no wins against ncaat teams.
miami -- an rpi of 45, no bad losses (winthrop isn't a bad one) and maybe 2 wins against ncaat teams (providence and miss st).
wake forest -- an rpi of 56, bad losses to charlotte and georgia and maybe 1 win against an ncaat team (byu)
ga tech and va are so far from a bid it's not even worth summarizing them.
i don't think any of the above teams would get a bid right now. miami probably is the closest because of their lack of bad losses. i think having so many bad losses is going to hurt the acc this year and as of right now, it is a 3 bid league with miami on the bubble.