Originally Posted by
Olympic Fan
While I agree with your point overall -- that freshmen OL should never play -- it's not true that Cut has never played one. He played Julian Santos nine games (101 snaps) last season. Before that, you have to go back to Bryan Morgan in 2007 to find a true freshmen playing in the OL.
It is interesting that a number of true freshmen OL have played at excelled in the ACC in recent years -- Clemson, FSU and Georgia Tech have all had success with true freshmen starters up front.
But I think that's the difference between five-star and four-star (or three-star) recruits. We see it in basketball, where we expect Duke's five-star recruits to be immediate impact players. But Duke doesn't get five-star recruits in football (not since Vince Oghabaase). You can find a lot of three star and four star gems, but it takes time to let them grow.
Guessing which true freshmen will play depends on two issues -- team need and player ability.
I can't think of any area where Duke NEEDS immediate impact, except in the kicking department. There are three recruited walk-ons in camp to challenge Reed (and Austin Parker, who kicked last spring). If one of them wins the job in preseason, that guy will go on scholarship very quickly.
The other area that needs an upgrade is the pass rush. A year ago, we were desperate at DL and played five true freshmen DEs. It's a promising bunch, but none had had a huge impact as a pass rusher. I think that's why Drew Jordan is almost certainly (barring injury) the most likely freshman to make an impact.
I too like Deon Jackson -- and running back is a position where freshman often make a big impact. But Duke does have Shaun Wilson, backed up by two very promising redshirt freshmen (Brown and Deveaux. Cut usually likes to go three-deep at TB and it takes 4-5 players to maintain three-deep throughout the season. So I think there is room for Jackson.
This freshman class has a lot of quality at the receiver positions. But Cut has said this is the deepest WR group he's ever had -- and he's adding Bracey to Rahming, Lloyd. Chambers, Fuller, Young and Taylor. But freshman Damond Johnson is faster than any of them. Does that earn him playing time? At TE, Cut has two solid veterans (Helm and Koppenhaver), plus a very promising redshirt in Birmingham. Is three enough? If not then Marwede (the second rated prospect in this class) or Gray, a guy they like a lot, will get a chance. At least one will redshirt, maybe both.
I can't see a true freshmen OL playing.
To go to defense -- Jordan is the one likely contributor up front. Maybe one of the three DTs (Dimukje is the best), but certainly nobody at LB, where Duke has two starters, five veterans and two very highly rated redshirt freshmen.
The secondary is a different story. Duke has three vets at CB (that counts Mark Gilbert, who played as a true freshman last year; and junior Zach Muniz, who redshirted last year) and one redshirt freshman. If Waters is as good as the staff thinks, he could crack that rotation. At safety, Duke has five veterans and three nice redshirts. Maybe Josh Blackwell could play, but there is a lot of talent ahead of him.
Understand that freshmen DBs and LBs sometimes get on the field early as coverage guys on kick returns. No way to guess who slips through that crack.
I guess if I had to rate the most likely to play in order:
1. Drew Jordan DE
2. Deon Jackson TB
3. Victor Dimukje DT
4. Maquis Waters CB
5. A walk-in placekicker (Diggers or Cone?)
The rest -- Johnson, Mawede, Blackwell are very good prospects, but unless there is a rash of injuries to their spots, I would expect them to redshirt.