Snowmageddon has hit Hampton Roads so I've got time on my hands and a desire to talk some basketball!
Now that we have survived the trip to Blacksburg, I'm excited for Saturday. Spring Football game at 10 am followed by several key match-ups in hoops. For starters, Duke has to take care of business by beating Syracuse. I enjoy discussing the other ACC games, offering up opinions on who should win and lose, and the impact those results will have on ACCT seeding and/or NCAAT berths, etc...but first things first...Duke must keep winning.
The first match-up that jumps out and grabs my attention is Carolina at Miami. The 'Canes need the win in order to stay relevant in the NCAAT discussion. Carolina is reeling having lost five of their last seven games. A Miami victory could knock the Tar Heels out of the Top 25 and send Carolina's NCAAT seeding tumbling down toward a number such as 8 or 9. Can Miami take care of business?
Louisville at Florida State is another interesting game. The Cardinals are struggling having lost three of their last six games with close wins in their last two games against Georgia Tech (52-51) and Miami (55-53). Louisville is not a good offensive team and with Chris Jones kicked off the team a case can be made they are not a good team period. A loss to Florida State is a real possibility. Louisville's NCAAT seed could be headed south alongside Carolina.
N.C. State at Boston College is critical for the inconsistent Wolfpack. Can they avoid a letdown after the big win in Chapel Hill? Their NCAAT bid could be in jeopardy with a bad loss or two down the stretch. The Wolfpack appear to be on the right side of the bubble as long as they don't screw up like they did after beating Duke earlier in the season. State followed up the win over Duke by losing four of their next five games. State needs to win two of their last three games to firm up a bid.
Finally, Virginia hosts Virginia Tech. The Hokies are tough in Blacksburg as we saw last night, but this game is in Charlottesville and the Cavaliers are playing tough ball even with Justin Anderson and London Perrantes injured. My expectation is it will be the CHokies who get off the bus at John Paul Jones Arena. Virginia wins easily.
Thoughts?
Bob Green
Saturday line (home team in caps):
State by 5 over BC
CLEMSON by 4 over Tech
DUKE by 13 over Syracuse
'Ville by 4 over FSU
Carolina by 1 over MIAMI
Carolina may have a dog fight on its hands. That may be the game of the day.
I just hope unc-cheat gets the same hot Miami team we got in Cameron, and the same Angel Rodgiguez we got in Cameron. If he is on and playing at a high level, they have no one that can guard him. Miami also has good 3 point shooters and like us, unc-cheat does not guard the line very well. Heck they are likely worse than us at defending the 3 point line.
If Angel is playing at a high level, and the Miami 3 point shooters have a solid day behind the line, I like Miami's chances to get this done. Truth be told, Miami probably has just as good talent as unc-cheat has and Miami has far better coaching in terms of both motivation and X and O's. I would take Larranaga over Ol Roy all day everyday to coach my team.
State, don't beat UNC then lose to BC.
There's a larger point here: Many teams are looking to burnish their records, and therefore motivated psychologically to bring all they've got.
The Syracuse game tonight comes to mind. No ACC tourney, No NCAA tourney. This is their chance to shove a pointy stick at the eye.
Miami/UNC is the same, but with due respect to my friend OPK, they both need it. Miami because of their bubble status, and UNC because they need redemption, team pride, and a decent seed.
Look for other games to include that dynamic. "Needing it" has a powerful force on the psyche of a team, whether that team performs in the end or not.
State down by 17 points to 1-14 Boston College at the half. Inconsistency remains the Wolfpack calling card!
Bob Green
Obviously, hang over from the UNC win ... this would be a devastating loss for the Pack, but they haven't lost it yet.
This season Georgia Tech has become the master of the last-second loss. Boston College has made a habit of playing better teams tough for 30-35 minutes, then fading at the end. Won't believe they can do it until they do.
I switched over to catch Georgia Tech at Clemson and Clemson was up 20-2 at the under eight minute timeout. Louisville up 10 on GSU at the half, despite a scoreless half for Terry Rozier.
At the under 8 minute TV timeout, Boston College 63, N.C. State 42. The Wolfpack embarrassing Tobacco Road once again.
Bob Green