Originally Posted by
Kedsy
Here's some data from past starting freshmen centers. For the second number I'm only averaging minutes during games started.
Christian Laettner: season mpg: 16.9; 2nd half of season: 9 starts and 23.3 mpg in those starts.
Elton Brand: season mpg: 23.5; 2nd half of season: 7 starts and 24.9 mpg in those starts.
Carlos Boozer: season mpg: 23.7; 2nd half of season: 17 starts and 25.2 mpg in those starts.
Shelden Williams: season mpg: 19.2; 2nd half of season: 13 starts and 25.1 mpg in those starts.
Josh McRoberts: season mpg: 24.5; 2nd half of season: 16 starts and 27.7 mpg in those starts.
So I guess 27 is possible, since it happened to McBob, but 30 would seem unlikely. Most likely based on the above would be around 25.
I dunno, Kedsy. I think Okafor is further along than any of these as freshman. He could well average 30MPG -- except for one thing: Marshall Plumlee will probably get 15 MPG, and I doubt those two play much together.
Three of those listed -- Brand, Boozer and Shelden -- did not have a lot of competition for minutes. Laettner and McRoberts did have competition as freshmen, which makes their minutes even more impressive.
Sage Grouse
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'When I got on the bus for my first road game at Duke, I saw that every player was carrying textbooks or laptops. I coached in the SEC for 25 years, and I had never seen that before, not even once.' - David Cutcliffe to Duke alumni in Washington, DC, June 2013