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  1. #21

    New Geek Stats!

    Football Outsiders is now updated with all three statistical measures.

    FEI:
    #26 Duke, 1 spot below #25 CLEMSON. FEI has us with the #22 O and #40 D

    Our future opponents:
    #86 Wake
    #42 UNC

    S&P+:
    #50 Duke - (basically we've hovered around 49-53 since the VaTech game).
    We have the #47 O (40th rushing, 39th passing), #53 D (81st against the pass, 83rd against the rush).

    Our future opponents:
    #68 Wake
    #43 UNC

    Finally, F/+, their combined and preferred measure:
    #32 Duke (#32 O, #41 D).

    Future Opponents
    #40 UNC
    #79 Wake
    <devildeac> anyone playing drinking games by now?
    7:49:36<Wander> drink every qb run?
    7:49:38<loran16> umm, drink every time asack rushes?
    7:49:38<wolfybeard> @devildeac: drink when Asack runs a keeper
    7:49:39 PM<CB&B> any time zack runs, drink

    Carolina Delenda Est

  2. #22
    We're #39 in Sagarin predictor, about a half point behind #36 UNC

  3. #23
    Is there any way to find out the stats for a NCAA football team that scores 60 or 70 or 80 points in one week, and how many points they score on average in the game(s) following such an offensive outburst?

    Just wondering.

  4. #24
    Join Date
    Mar 2007
    Location
    Carrboro
    Good question. Last season UNC scored over 60 twice. After the first such outburst they lost to Wake Forest. After the second they beat Virginia Tech. I'm not sure what that means.

    I was at the 80 point gun show last weekend, and I am concerned about UNC's tall receivers. I think we can move the ball on their defense and suspect we'll have to. Anyone who has desired a do-over of the Pitt game might get her/his wish.

  5. #25
    Quote Originally Posted by nyesq83 View Post
    Is there any way to find out the stats for a NCAA football team that scores 60 or 70 or 80 points in one week, and how many points they score on average in the game(s) following such an offensive outburst?

    Just wondering.
    UNC won like 63-0 vs Elon last year and still lost to us. I don't put much stock in D1AA blow outs.

    -----------------

    MORE GEEK STATS. Football Outsiders' S&P+, which didn't love us and had UNC ahead of us already, now has:
    #47 Duke
    #35 UNC

    So both teams moved up. Duke is the #44 O, #57 D. UNC is #26 O, #44 D.

    http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/ncaa
    <devildeac> anyone playing drinking games by now?
    7:49:36<Wander> drink every qb run?
    7:49:38<loran16> umm, drink every time asack rushes?
    7:49:38<wolfybeard> @devildeac: drink when Asack runs a keeper
    7:49:39 PM<CB&B> any time zack runs, drink

    Carolina Delenda Est

  6. #26
    Thanks for the data, about what I expected.

    I expect Duke to win if mistakes are limited.

    Expect extra effort by all hands on Saturday, and lots of taunting by Carolina.

  7. #27
    Football Outsiders' remaining polls have updated.

    FEI again favors us greatly: We're 27th (Dropped slightly due to Wake game) but UNC is 41, such that the projections based upon FEI have Duke as 3 point favorites even on the road.

    FPlus has Duke ranked just ahead of UNC - Duke at 35, UNC at 37. Duke is ranked 31 on O, 46 on D, 36 on special teams while UNC is ranked 28 on O, 52 on D, and 63 on Special Teams.
    <devildeac> anyone playing drinking games by now?
    7:49:36<Wander> drink every qb run?
    7:49:38<loran16> umm, drink every time asack rushes?
    7:49:38<wolfybeard> @devildeac: drink when Asack runs a keeper
    7:49:39 PM<CB&B> any time zack runs, drink

    Carolina Delenda Est

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