Lincoln does not open wide until next weekend. It is only in some very select cities and theaters this weekend. I believe the theater count for Lincoln this weekend is... 11.
So, next weekend it goes up against Twilight 4, which will similarly dominate all the movie headlines. But, I doubt there are many (perhaps not any) people who want to see Twilight who would also want to see Lincoln. How many 12-17 year old female history buffs do you know?
-Jason "Skyfall, which skews quite a bit older and more intellectual than Twilight, is the kind of film that would really hurt Lincoln's boxoffice, though I suspect Lincoln is a long-term boxoffice play, not a movie that ever scores a big opening weekend" Evans