Originally Posted by
Highlander
As of yesterday's gallup poll, Romney has opened up his biggest lead over Obama - 51-45%. However, as the folks at
electoral-vote.com show, the poll internals tell a different story:
Region |
Obama |
Romney |
Margin |
East |
52% |
48% |
Obama +4% |
Midwest |
52% |
48% |
Obama +4% |
South |
39% |
61% |
Romney +22% |
West |
53% |
47% |
Obama +6% |
So Romney is leading big in the South, but the remaining numbers tilt in Obama's favor. If this was a popular vote election, Romney's chances would be decidedly better. Unfortunately for him, his support doesn't appear to be as geographically diverse as Obama's. It will be interesting to see if Romney wins the popular vote, but loses the election.
Another interesting note was that this week, Ohio has upheld the ruling which will allow the polls to be open the weekend before election day to all voters, not just military families. This is seen as a big win for Democrats, as early voting tends to favor blue collar workers who cannot get out of work to vote. It is significant in this election because, without Ohio, Romney's path to 270 becomes almost impossible.
Source: www.electoral-vote.com
So if this were the Heisman trophy, Obama would be in the clear.
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