And in fairness CDu, I have no memory at all of what your predictions were for McAdoo, so not poking at you here, it just happened to be you who served me the fastball down the middle I was sitting on so I had to swing!
Sorry, I normally don't crow over predictions, just taking advantage of being right for once!
Now, back to your regular programming of kids with no chance in hell of being drafted giving up their college careers (There are 60 draft spots, last year over 90 underclassmen declared)
"[T]he tarnished Tar Heels that bear little resemblance to the revered program built by Dean Smith."- Ashville Times
"UNC and the NCAA are trying to conceal that the fraud was specifically designed to pad the transcripts of varsity athletes" - Bloomberg
Syracuse soph Dion Waiters is in, as is Mississippi State jumbo Renardo Sidney. Waiters is a first rounder. Sidney, not so much.
don't want to monger, but i've had 3 tweets that action is taking place as i type......anyone got the inside low-low?
"Either we're going down, or they are....... Kirk out!"
A quick look at the open bball forum on IC doesn't show anything definite. But rumors are spreading that it may be all three today/soon. McAdoo's family has officially said he's considering his options as well. That's not terribly informative. But we can always hope.
All 4 leave, Heels still have lots of good wingers ready to shine, a promising young PG to share that spot with combo Dex. Bigs are all projects for 2012-'13, so Heels live and die by the 3.
Let's say you make $6mm over 3 years, and your head is screwed on straight. After taxes and management fees, it's half. So, as a 25-26 year old, you have a base of $3mm to work with going forward. That would open a lot of possibilites in regards to making career type decisions. Again, as long as you are thinking clearly.
As for the hypothetical late 1st round pick, I'm guessing it's around $2-2.5 million over 2 years (I believe the new rules cut guaranteed contracts to 2 years but the team can still extend you if they want to do so). Still really good money.
However, the concern with being projected as a late 1st round pick is that you may slip to the 2nd round. Slipping to the 2nd round means you don't have a guaranteed contract and could easily end up overseas or in the D-League with a tough road to climb to make it to the NBA.
Everything I am reading shows Zeller, Barnes, Henson, McAdoo and Marshall being drafted in the top 20. I have seen Mason listed as an end of first rounder with Rivers slated in the 15-25 range.
With any luck, all 4 UNC underclassmen jet and Mason stays!
McAdoo's dad apparently told IC that JMM is weighing his options but is likely to return to UNC. Not the smartest decision IMO if he really is a top 5 pick (see Barnes, Harrison or Davis, Ed) but he may really value being "the man" for UNC next year if the others leave.
That said, he may want the chance to be a star in college rather than a backup. So who knows?
Also, I think it would interesting to see how Ol Roy adapts his team to all of the depth he will have in the backcourt while having potentially much less talent/depth up-front. Roy isn't exactly known for his flexibility.
According to Chad Ford's board at ESPN, McAdoo would go at #7 (under his assumption that Cody Zeller comes out, at #6, which I'm guessing probably won't happen). Moreover, he's got Bradley Beal at #3 and Andre Drummond at #5. It's not too hard to envision McAdoo passing Drummond over in the workouts, and NBA teams favoring a big man like McAdoo over a guy like Beal, who is a good player, but a bit undersized to be a true standout SG, and doesn't have PG skills. Under that scenario, McAdoo could go as high as #4.
NBA Draft.net had McAdoo #3 on their 2013 board. But, if he were to come out this year, it is hard to see how he would be slotted outside their top 10.
Honestly, if McAdoo were to come out, I see this playing out much like it did for Marvin Williams in 2005, where Williams was picked #2, ahead of guys like Felton, May and McCants who had all started (and starred) ahead of him at UNC, based solely on the comparative "upside."
McAdoo may well prefer to stay and be "the man" on next year's UNC team. But, if he comes out now, I think it's a pretty sure bet he's a top 7 pick, at worst top 10, and very likely to go top 5.
And, while it is obviously self-serving, I don't understand at all Mason Plumlee's apparently serious consideration of going. He's at 29 and 27, respectively, by Ford and NBA draft.net, and that is before any of the currently-unknown Euros who always crop up in the middle of the first round come in and knock him down a few more slots. It seems clear to me that Mason would fall out of the first round entirely. He'd be much better served staying another year and coming out next season into a much weaker draft.