Originally Posted by
uh_no
I'll paraphrase what i said in another thread:
after the top two, there are four teams vying. IF the season ended today, i would have them in the following order:
3: kansas
4: UNC
5: MSU
6: Duke
So, who gets the one seeds depends on what happens in the tournaments If kansas or UNC win, obviously they're locks. If MSU wins and either of kansas or UNC lose, MSU snags one. For duke to get the one seed, they need a bit of help. First, I think we need to win the tournament. Second, we need EITHER to have beaten UNC in the title game and one of MSU and Kansas lose, or BOTH MSU and kansas lose.
in the first scenario (beating UNC in the title game), UNC gets bumped off the 1 line. In this scenario, if MSU and kansas both win, then they get the one seeds and Duke and UNC are both twos. If one of those two (msu/ku) loses, we get the other one seed. If we beat anyone else in the title game, I think UNC keeps the one seed with whoever of MSU and kansas won their league. Why you ask? because in the two games we would have played against carolina, we needed a furious comeback in one, and got shellacked in the other...so UNC stays ahead of us unless we beat them.
in the second scenario (both MSU and kansas lose), since we had won the tournament, both UNC and us get the one seeds. Again, if only one of them lose, and we didn't beat UNC again, UNC gets the other spot
so locations:
SU has boston, UK has st louis. THat's locked (effectively)
If the status quo above remains, kansas goes to atlanta, UNC goes to pheonix, MSU goes to st louis, and we go to atlanta
In my first scenario above, where we beat UNC in the title game, if its kansas who is the other one to win their conference, I think they stay #3 overall, so we end up as the 1 seed in pheonix (MSU in STL, UNC in atlanta) If MSU is the other team to win, then I think we end up as the #3 overall and get atlanta, and MSU goes to pheonix. (kansas in STL, UNC in atlanta). If both KU and MSU were to win, we would likely be the 2 seed in atlanta and UNC would be in STL.
In the second scenario above (where we beat someone else other than), I think kansas gets atlanta and we get pheonix. UNC goes to atl (as the 2) and MSU goes to stl.
ANWAY...that said, we will be in atlanta in almost every scenario, here are the exceptions
1) we are the number 4 overall with kansas as #3 overall, we go to pheonix
2)we are 6 overall and carolina is 5 overall, we go to STL (MSU and KU both win, we beat someone other than carolina in the title game)
3) carolina is #3 overall (means they have to win the tournament and kansas has to lose), we end up in STL (since two teams can't be in the same conference as the 1 and 2)