It's really amazing how Romney has managed to follow up just about every victory that was supposed to herald "the beginning of the end" with a gaffe that gives his detractors and opponents new ammunition.
(OK, this time I guess it was technically a Romney adviser and not Romney himself, but I'm not sure that's going to soften the impact.)
I think he'll hear the Etch-a-sketch line again come the fall. It is a brilliant attack line. Especially if you can show a commercial with Romney's own aide saying it.
Eat Mor Jonny.
This has been a fun and constructive thread. Thanks to Jason for sponsoring and moderating. But, surely, surely, surely we can all agree that this nomination race is over, done, fini, finito.
w/o MI, IA, NV, ME, WA: Obama +41,622
w/o MI: Obama +151,844
w/o IA, NV, ME, WA: Clinton +286,687
all inc: Clinton +176,465
*in MI, there were also 238,168 votes for "uncommitted"
**IIRC, they didn't officially campaign in FL, which also makes the FL numbers suspect.
Anyhow, I don't think it's that pertinent to consider how things would have turned out if the rules were different. The candidates would likely have had different strategies if the states were winner-take-all. Same is true this year.
It is worth noting that the GOP is not allocating delegates proportionally in all states this time around. Instead, most states seem to be giving delegates to winners of each congressional district and then awarding some additional delegates, sometimes proportionally, to the state-wide popular vote winner. If the GOP were handing out delegates proportionally, Romney would be in very serious danger of not getting 50% of the delegates as he has only very rarely reached even close to 50% of the vote in any of these states.
-Jason "I am starting to really wonder if the Etch-a-sketch remark is going to turn into a major, major blunder" Evans
Yeah, that's the only question remaining. Neither Santorum nor Gingrich is going to catch Romney in delegates, but can they keep him from getting 1,144 before the convention? One school of thought says that's the only reason Newt is staying in at this point. He knows he's not winning any more states, knows he's probably coming in third in delegates (he even said so in an interview yesterday). But it's unclear that if he dropped out, the people who vote for him would flock to Santorum -- at least some would go to Romney. So by staying in he holds Santorum back somewhat, but also might be able to hold Romney back just enough to keep him from piling up enough votes (and thus, enough delegates) to sew up the nomination before the convention.
Eat Mor Jonny.
My interest level in this election cycle just skyrocketed.
Brian Zoubek on what was going through his mind walking to the free throw line with 3.6 seconds remaining in the 2010 National Championship game and Duke up by 1: "Fifty percent [of me is] thinking, This is what I've been dreaming of doing my entire life. Fifty percent I'm crapping my pants."
Not that it matters, but Santorum has been declared the winner in Louisiana tonight by a fairly large margin, something close to 20 points.
But, as Nate Silver said earlier today, it seems too little, too late.
-Jason "new polls show Romney up in Wisconsin... which would all but end Santorum's race, I think" Evans
Gingrich isn't quitting because the race isn't over. Ahh...well that makes sense.
http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com...ed/?hpt=hp_bn5I think this is not over until it's over