Glad this got its own thread. Nolan is having an amazing senior year and is an odds-on pick for 1st team AA.
I dont see Nolan dropping a lot or gaining a whole lot in his ppg unless a consistent 3rd scorer emerges (Kyrie coming back?). So I'd bet on Nolan keeping a slightly less prolific pace (the 22.9 scenario), which means he's got to carry us to the Final Four. It's do-able, albeit unlikely.