Originally Posted by
Olympic Fan
I know that the Braves are currently atop the NL East, a game and a half ahead of the Mets and three and a half up on the Phillies (just two in the loss column, but a whopping five in the win column).
That surpasses all my preseason expections and with 40 percent of the season gone, it can't be considered a fluke. Some things have gone very well for the Braves (Haywood, Glaus, Prado, Wagner), but some have not (Chipper and McCann can hit better, Jurrjens has been out, Kawakami is winless in the rotation, Escobar has been hurt and/or below par, McLouth is under the Mendoza line). I can see where this team could get even better over the last 60 percent of the season.
The Braves are winding up a make-or-break 11-game road trip today and whatever happens in the final game at Minnesota, they'll still be in first place when they come home next week. We all said that they needed to go 6-5 on this trip ... they are 5-5 going into today's game.
So, obviously, winning the NL East is the first option.
But we all know that in this day and age, winning a wild card is essentially as good as winning a division. Right now, the Braves are engaged in a three-team battle for the NL East title (and the Marlins and Nats aren't all that far back). Finish first ... great.
But what if the Phillies -- still probably the most talented team in the division -- get hot and the Braves finish second in that NL East competition? What's the competition for the wild card look like?
Remember, Atlanta is 36-27 going into today's game.
The NL Central has two strong teams battling for the top. The Reds are in first and the Cardinals (at 34-28) are the same as the Mets and a game-and-a-half behind the Braves.
There are three contenders in the NL West. One will win the division ... the next best will be in the wild card race.
In fact, if the season ended this morning, Atlanta (36-27), Cincinnati (36-27)and the San Diego Padres (37-25) would be division champs and the LA Dodgers (36-26) would get the wild card, leaving the Mets (34-28), the Cards (34-28) and the Giants (34-27) on the outside looking in.
Certainly, there is plenty of time for those teams to make up grown. And the future is not forseeable -- everybody who had San Diego with the best record in the NL at this point, raise your hands!