Since the advent of the unbalanced schedule, I've looked annually at how each team's schedule stacked up. One of the more unique aspects of the method I use is to treat the conference as if it had 24 teams, rather than 12; that is each team has a "home" and "away" version, and for the teams you play once, you only get credit for the version you play (so, for example, Duke played the "away" version of Wake and the "home" version of Virginia). So let's look at that information first (all numbers are in points per hundred possessions):

Code:
Home Team			Off.	Def.	Margin
Duke	        		116.65	87.97	28.68
Maryland			121.32	100.10	21.22
Clemson      			103.75	88.76	14.99
Virginia Tech			104.50	96.15	8.35
Georgia Tech			98.48	90.78	7.70
Wake Forest			102.14	94.91	7.23
Boston College			104.64	99.88	4.76
Florida State			96.30	92.53	3.77
Miami	        		108.84	108.14	0.69
Virginia			101.04	103.38	-2.34
North Carolina			99.63	102.26	-2.64
North Carolina State		99.28	102.57	-3.29
Code:
Road Team			Off.	Def.	Margin
Duke	        		106.46	100.20	6.26
Maryland			102.74	100.25	2.48
Florida State			98.90	98.60	0.30
Virginia Tech			97.60	101.50	-3.89
Wake Forest			94.55	102.95	-8.39
Georgia Tech			102.60	112.14	-9.54
Clemson      			93.76	103.63	-9.87
Virginia			92.63	103.75	-11.12
North Carolina State		96.27	107.75	-11.47
Boston College			96.88	110.71	-13.83
North Carolina			91.93	105.85	-13.92
Miami	        		91.64	109.06	-17.42
To no one's great surprise, everyone's a lot better at home than on the road. Only three teams - Duke, Maryland, and FSU - were better than their opponents both at home and away. The Noles were the most road-immune team (although one could say that's because they were no great shakes at home), while Clemson had the most disparate home/road results.

The strength of schedule is derived from figuring out the collective offensive and defensive ratings of the 16 teams you played, with your own performance factored out (so UNC's schedule doesn't look harder because it stank, and Duke's easier because it dominated). I figured out both the offensive and defensive degree of difficulty for each team. The disparities may look small, but keep in mind that the teams averaged just shy of 1100 total possessions in ACC play this season, so a difference of 2.00 in margin is 22 points over the course of the season.

Opponent offenses, from toughest to weakest:
Code:
	        	Opp Off
Florida State		102.74
Clemson      		102.50
Virginia		101.98
Duke           		101.88
North Carolina		101.65
Georgia Tech		101.63
Miami	        	100.22
Maryland		100.13
NC State		99.87
Wake Forest		99.65
Boston College		99.64
Virginia Tech		99.04
Opponent defenses, from toughest to weakest
Code:
        		Opp Def
Maryland		98.70
Boston College		98.71
North Carolina		100.31
Clemson      		100.48
Duke          		100.53
Georgia Tech		100.54
Miami	        	101.01
NC State		101.39
Virginia Tech		102.01
Virginia		102.12
Florida State		102.29
Wake Forest		102.77
These two performances come together to make the opponent's scoring margin. A perfectly average schedule would be zero - anything positive is tougher, and anything negative is easier:

Code:
               		O Marg
Clemson      		2.02
Maryland		1.43
Duke	        	1.35
North Carolina		1.34
Georgia Tech		1.10
Boston College		0.92
Florida State		0.45
Virginia		-0.14
Miami	        	-0.79
NC State		-1.52
Virginia Tech		-2.97
Wake Forest		-3.11
As you can see, Wake and Virginia Tech were the beneficiaries of very easy schedules. Each team played twice against Miami, UVA, UNC, and State, who were very clearly the 4 worst teams in the league. Clemson, by contrast, had to double dip against Duke, Maryland, FSU, Georgia Tech, and BC, and go on the road to play Wake and Virginia Tech. That's road games against every one of the top 8 road teams - the only way they could have had a harder road schedule was to go to Miami instead of NC State.

So with all of this information, we can adjust performance to see how the teams would have performed against an average schedule. The unadjusted performance looks like this:

Code:
                	Margin
Duke          		17.59
Maryland		11.71
Clemson       		2.69
Virginia Tech		2.32
Florida State		2.06
Wake Forest		-0.45
Georgia Tech		-0.60
Boston College		-4.68
Virginia		-6.80
NC State		-7.42
North Carolina		-8.41
Miami         		-8.50
Adjusted, we get a bit of movement, especially with VT and Wake:

Code:
               		Margin
Duke          		18.95
Maryland		13.15
Clemson      		4.71
Florida State		2.51
Georgia Tech		0.50
Virginia Tech		-0.65
Wake Forest		-3.56
Boston College		-3.75
Virginia		-6.95
North Carolina		-7.08
NC State		-8.93
Miami	        	-9.29
Finally, based on the adjusted performance of the teams this season, here are the tourney odds. Duke is a prohibitive favorite; mostly because of how good they were (they're a 70/30 favorite over even Maryland on a neutral court) and secondarily because the 4/5 matchup is really a 6/7 matchup based on the teams' schedule adjusted performance.

Code:
		        	Quarters Semis	Finals	Win
1	Duke	        	100.00%	96.28%	90.99%	69.98%
2	Maryland		100.00%	86.36%	66.36%	22.95%
6	Clemson      		87.12%	50.28%	16.01%	2.92%
3	Florida State		100.00%	47.56%	12.40%	1.84%
4	Virginia Tech		100.00%	65.37%	5.56%	1.21%
7	Georgia Tech		74.31%	12.03%	4.76%	0.57%
5	Wake Forest		67.63%	26.87%	1.64%	0.26%
8	Boston College		61.80%	2.68%	1.15%	0.18%
9	Virginia		38.20%	1.04%	0.32%	0.03%
12	Miami          		32.37%	7.76%	0.33%	0.03%
10	North Carolina		25.69%	1.61%	0.30%	0.02%
11	NC State		12.88%	2.16%	0.16%	0.01%