The only difference between declaring before April 10 and after April 10th is that declaring before April 10th gives you the opportunity to back out. If you declare after April 10, you have no choice but to go pro.
Not clear on why there's an arbitrary deadline to pull out of the draft. Heck, I'm not sure why a player can't even be drafted and then say "Second round? Really? Screw this, I'm going back to school..."
I do think the NBA and NCAA could help kids out more than they do. A lot more. Any help at all would actually be more than many of these kids are currently getting. Lots of coaches are helpful - Calipari to his credit is. But many coaches are selfish and will try to keep kids in school to save their own jobs. There's too many perverse incentives for agents, scouts and coaches to mislead these kids. Often that void gets filled by AAU coaches who turn into wannabe agents or by parents who dont know what they dont know. Information should be easier and more transparent, but it would take collaboration by the NBA and NCAA to do it, not them conspiring to protect their own interests.
In the end I think that Davis and MKG definitely go pro and that Lamb and Teague will most likely go as well. If UK signs Noel and Bazz though, I'm not sure we are looking at a much different or less talented team next year. Part of what made them so good this year was that they all bought into the system and played really well as a "team". That aspect can be predicted with future players but from what I've seen, a Noel/Bazz tandem would look very similar to the Davis/MKG tandem that just won the NC.
That said, I don't think there'll be an issue of getting all three of Bennett, Noel, and Muhammad. Seems more likely that Bennett will end up going elsewhere. But we'll see.
If Shabazz is just waiting to see what the UK players do (which I've seen suggested many times now), I don't even know why I'm holding out hope. IMO, Anthony Davis is in the Kyrie situation: you are the consensus number 1 pick right now, you must go pro now to maximize. I don't think there's a snowball's chance in chapel hill that Davis comes back. It disappoints me, but in this day and age the thought of an elite, young team deciding to try to repeat by coming back to college for one more year is nonexistent. Even if that thought existed amongst UK players not named Davis, once Anthony leaves, their title chances diminish significantly. So I believe we'll see the typical mass exodus from UK, maybe the whole starting five. At this point I'm still hopeful for Shabazz coming to Durham, but things don't seem to be leaning our way. I keep coming back to DBR hoping for the latest tweet from Shabazz that suggests something Dukish, but holding out hope based on these UK kids staying around is gonna be difficult. Give me some good news guys!
Surely, that could not ever happen.
For those not spending all day on twitter ;-)
Shabazz just tweeted:
@phenom15balla: Man signing day is coming up and this decision is getting harder and harder wish I could go to all 3 schools!
Sounds like he really may not have made up his mind yet. Or he is just playing with everybody.
I'd almost rather be dragged along at this point to make me feel like we are still having a legitimate, late in the game shot at guys like Shabazz. LeBron, give the kid a call and tell him to come play for K, you too Kobe. This is really adding nothing and I apologize, it just seems that the best parts of my life revolve around the upcoming decisions of 18 year olds. Priorities right?
Hey Shabazz, come to Duke.