Nice post. I think you're dead on with the 7-9 record. They had a decent non-conference schedule a won a few good games (Mich State, Ohio State). Anything 7-9 and higher and they're in the tourney. Anything lower and I don't see it happening.
Potential scenario: UNC is 6-9 coming into Cameron. Wow. No pressure. Wow.
Criticism may not be agreeable, but it is necessary. It fulfils the same function as pain in the human body. It calls attention to an unhealthy state of things. - Winston Churchill
President of the "Nolan Smith Should Have His Jersey in The Rafters" Club