Originally Posted by
JasonEvans
In the wake of last night's result, Carolina is down to #46 in the Pomeroy rankings. Ken now projects they will finish the season 18-13 with an ACC record of 7-9. BC and NC State are the only road games where the Tarheels will be favored according to Pom. Can you say bubble?
Sagarin has the Heels at #33, which is probably more reasonable than #46. A telling statistic though -- UNC is just 1-3 against the Sagarin top 50. They have played the 179th toughest schedule in the land.
Perhaps most troubling for Carolina fans, CBS's RPI rankings have them at #58. We all know that the RPI matters to the NCAA Selection committee. 6 of the Tarheels wins are against teams ranked outside the RPI top 200 meaning their record against the RPI top 200 is 5-4... not too good.
By comparison, Duke has played just 2 games against teams ranked outside the top 200 in the RPI. The Devils are #2 in the RPI, #2 in Pomeroy and #3 in Sagarin.
--Jason "Ugly season so far in Chapa Heeya" Evans