is UNC according to this site.
Interesting article where 10,000 simulations are ran to determine the winner of the tournament. By the way, Duke is dead last among the remaining 16 teams with only a 1.2% chance.
"The future ain't what it used to be."
I didn't read the entire article in full detail, but I find it interesting that UNC has the greatest chance of winning it all, yet Pitt has a greater chance of making the championship game according to the interactive feature.
And Mich St, Xavier, Arizona, Purdue, and Mizzou all have lower probabilities of winning it all than us. He just stopped giving the percentages in his article. They're listed in the scroll down menu on the interactive feature.