Last year, I posted about my computer rating system that I use to fill out my bracket (or at least to choose which games to watch). Here are the ratings for this year, and the following are the predicted results for all of the first-round matchups:
Code:
First Round:
1 Connecticut, 16 Chattanooga (23.67)
1 Louisville, 16 Morehead St. (18.14)
1 North Carolina, 16 Radford (22.96)
1 Pittsburgh, 16 East Tennessee St. (16.13)
2 Duke, 15 Binghamton (20.48)
2 Memphis, 15 Cal St. Northridge (15.47)
2 Michigan St., 15 Robert Morris (14.99)
2 Oklahoma, 15 Morgan St. (16.39)
3 Kansas, 14 North Dakota St. (7.68)
3 Missouri, 14 Cornell (13.26)
3 Syracuse, 14 Stephen F. Austin (12.32)
3 Villanova, 14 American (12.87)
4 Gonzaga, 13 Akron (14.68)
4 Wake Forest, 13 Cleveland St. (8.55)
4 Washington, 13 Mississippi St. (7.21)
4 Xavier, 13 Portland St. (9.01)
5 Florida St., 12 Wisconsin (-.09)
5 Illinois, 12 Western Kentucky (9.37)
5 Purdue, 12 Northern Iowa (9.24)
5 Utah, 12 Arizona (1.72)
6 Arizona St., 11 Temple (4.91)
6 Marquette, 11 Utah St. (5.22)
6 UCLA, 11 Virginia Commonwealth (7.91)
6 West Virginia, 11 Dayton (12.15)
7 Boston College, 10 Southern California (-3.41)
7 California, 10 Maryland (2.08)
7 Clemson, 10 Michigan (6.85)
7 Texas, 10 Minnesota (2.59)
8 Brigham Young, 9 Texas A&M (6.67)
8 Louisiana St., 9 Butler (-.01)
8 Ohio St., 9 Siena (2.55)
8 Oklahoma St., 9 Tennessee (-.62)
The number to the right is the expected margin of victory. A negative number means that the lower seed is expected to upset the higher seed.
The ratings also predict a Final Four of UNC, UConn, Pitt, and West Virginia.
What do you guys think?
- matt