As I posted earlier here, I like this pick as well. When I filled out my bracket, I made this pick based equally on gut instinct and a disdain for Memphis (mainly Calipari). Having said that, much of what I have read in the last two days seems to support this pick. Missouri is equally strong both offensively and defensively.
Duke wins my bracket every year!
A little late for changing brackets, but I just found the Sagarin Tourney Projection simulation bracket thing... http://mbd.scout.com/mb.aspx?s=17&f=2755&t=4088367
Interesting stuff, an a lot of things jump out that are, to me, somewhat counter-intuitive.
Like Fl. State (5 seed) having a .16% chance of winning it all. Compared to some other schools... UCLA (6) 3.79%, WV (6) 4.39%, Tenn (9) .34% even Arizona (12) .19% is higher (though at those percentages its hardly a material difference.)
I wonder what about the Noles the formula doesn't value?