If Ol'Roy doesn't win it all he is a failure IMO (with all that talent). Others should include Uconn, Oklahoma and Pitt.
Top 8 is a lot easier to gauge than the last 8. Still lots of jockeying. This will change since Notre Dame just crunched Louisville who had beaten Pitt earlier. UConn and Pitt also face each other Monday.
May be too little too late as I still have Notre Dame #78
Arizona is back inside the bubble which surprised me, as is Stanford though Lunardi shows them no love.
01 14499 BE UCONN beat Louisv, Syr, Gonzaga Nova, W VA Miami-FL, Mich Wisc Notre Dame, Prov & Buffalo, lost to G-town
02 14309 ACC UNC lost to Wake & BC, beat Duke, Mich St, Clemson, UK, Miami-FL, FSU, Notre Dame NC St & UVA(2)
03 14138 B12 Oklahoma lost to Ark, beat TX, Purdue, Baylor(2) Davidson,Okl St USC Utah, TX A&M(2), Iowa StTulsa UAB VCU & Nebr
04 13209 BE Louisville lost to UCONN, MN, UNLV & W Ky, beat Pitt,Syr Nova , W VA, UK & split w Notre Dame
05 14196 BE Pittsburgh beat Syr, W VA(2), G-town FSU,Notre Dame Siena & Vermont, lost to Louisv & Nova
06 13017 ACC Wake Forest beat Duke, UNC, Clemson, Baylor BYU,BC(2) & UTEP, lost to Miami, VA Tech, NC St& GA Tech
07 13780 ACC Duke beat ,Xav & Purdue, G-town Mimai, FSU, Davidson, VA Tech & MD, split w Mich, lost to UNC, Wake & Clemson
08 12975 CUSA Memphis lost to , Xav, Syr & G-town beat Zaga, TN, NE, Houston,Tulsa(2) UAB,& Cinc
09 12967 B10 Michigan St lost to UNC & MD, beat TX Illini,, MN(2) , KU, Ohio St(2),Okl St, Mich & Iowa split w NW & Penn St
10 12811 ACC Clemson lost to Wake UNC & FSU,beat Duke Illini Miami-Fl, BC, VA Tech, So Car & Temple
11 12483 BE Marquette split w Nova, beat WV , Wisc, G-town,Notre Dame, N Iowa, Cincy & Prov & DeP (2) lost to TN, Dayton & USF
12 12377 P10 UCLA lost to AZ St(2) TX ,Wash & Mich , beat Calif,Stanf, USC(2), Notre Dame,AZ, Miami-OH & Wash St
13 12310 BE Villanova split w Marq lost to UCONN, Louisv, TX, beat Pitt, Marq(2) Syr, Niagara,Prov Temple URI, Cincy St. John's, Seton Hall & St Joe's
14 11646 HOR Butler beat Xav NW, UAB, WI-Milw & Clev St, Wright ST(2)split w WI- GB, lost to tOSU
15 12391 A10 Xavier lost to Duke, Butler Dayton & Duquesne, beat Memphis, MO , Robt Morris, VA Tech, LSU & Temple
16 11129 B10 Illinois lost to Mich St, Clemson & MN, split w V & Mich, beat Purdue (2), MO, Ohio St,NW, TX A&M-CC, & Tulsa
17 11175 B12 Missouri lost to Xav, Illinois Nebr & K-St, beat KU, TX, Baylor, Calif Okl St, USC, TX Tech & Iowa St(2)
18 11752 B12 Kansas U lost to Mich St, MO, Syr, & AZ, bad loss to UMASS, beat Wash,Baylor, TN, Siena, Okl St, TX A&M, Temple Nebr, K-St, Iowa St
19 11120 P10 AZ St lost to Baylor, Cal, Wash, USC & Wash St, beat UCLA(2), BYU, Stanf, AZ Nebr & Oreg (2)
20 10952 BE Syracuse beat Memphis, WV, KU, FL, Notre Dame,Cornell & Long Beach lost to UC\ONN, Louisv, Pitt, Nova, G-town Prov & Clev St
21 10931 WCC Gonzaga beat St Mary's(2), TN(2) Okl St MD, Wash St & Portl (2), lost to UCONN, Memphis, Utah, AZ & Portl St
22 10586 BE West Virginia lost to UCONN, Louisv, Pitt(2), Marq, Syr, UK,& Davidson beat G-town, Ohio St.Prov, Miami-OH, St John's, & MS
23 10450 B10 Ohio St. beat Butler, Notre Dame,Miami-FL Mich(2) & Iowa, lost to Mich St(2), MN Illini &W VA
24 10872 B10 Purdue lost to OKL,Duke, Illini (2) & split w Penn St, beat MN, Davidson, Wisc(2),Mich BC & NW,
25 10308 ACC FSU beat Clemson, Calif,FL, W Ky, TX A*M-CC, MD, Cincy NC St & UVA(2) lost to Duke,Pitt UNC, Miami-FL & NW
26 10266 B12 Texas lost to OKL, Mich St, MO, Notre Dame, Nebr, K-St & Ark, beat UCLA, Nova, Baylor, Okl St Wisc, TX A&M
27 10147 B10 Minnesota beat Louisv,Illini, Wisc, N Dak St, Cornell, Iowa,& Ind (2) lost to Mich St(2), Purdue & NW, split w Ohio St,
28 10126 P10 California lost to UCLA, MO, FSU, Stanf,USC & Oreg St beat AZ St, Wash(2), Utah, UNLV,AZ, & Wash St(2)
29 10412 P10 Wash beat UCLA, AZ St, Okl St, Stanf(2), USC Wash St, Clev St & Portl St, lost to Cal(2), KU FL, & AZ
30 10184 WAC Utah St. lost to BYU, beat Utah, Weber St. Boise St, Wyoming & New MX St(2)
31 9798 MWC Utah beat BYU, Zaga TCU & New MX, split w SDSU, lost to OKL,Calif Utah St,UNLV & Idaho St & Div 2 SW Baptist
32 9948 MWC BYU lost to Wake, Az St , Utah, UNLV, & New MX, beat Utah St, Long Beach, Weber St, SDSU, Tulsa, TCU & Boise St
33 9778 SEC Tennessee lost to Memphis,Zaga (2), KU, UK, LSU, Temple & Auburn, beat G-town Marq, FL, Siena, So Carol & Ark
34 10065 SEC Florida lost to Syr FSU, TN, UK & So Carol, beat Wash ,Ark, Vandy & Auburn
35 9852 BE Georgetown beat UCONN,Syr, Memphis & Prov, lost to Duke, Pitt Marq, W VA, TN,N Dame Cincy(2) & Seton Hall
36 9657 ACC Miami-FL lost to UCONN, UNC, Duke, Clemson, tOSU, VA Tech & NC St, split w MD, beat UK, FSU, Robt Morris, BC So MS & St. John's
37 9538 Southern Davidson lost to Duke, OKL & Purdue, beat W VA, NC St Drake & split w Charleston,
38 9338 B10 Wisconsin lost to UCONN, TX, Marq, Purdue(2), MN split w Illini, & NW ,& Iowa,, beat V AT, Long Beach, Mich & Penn St(2)
39 9327 A10 Dayton lost to Creighton, Charl, & UMASS,beat Xav, Marq, G Mason,Miami-OH, St. Jos,LaSalle, Akron & GWU
40 9324 P10 USC lost to OKL, UCLA(2), MO, Wash,Seton Hall & Oreg St,split w AZ beat AZ St, Calif, Stanf, N Dak St, Wash St &GA Tech
41 9225 SEC Kentucky beat W VA, FL, TN, K-St Vandy, N MX, Alab & Auburn, lost to UNC Louisv, Miami-FL, VMI So Carol & MS,
42 8952 ACC Va Tech lost to Duke, Clemson Xav, Wisc,Seton Hall, split w BC beat Wake, Miami-FL St. John's, NC St, UVA & GA Tech
43 8912 B12 TX A&M lost to Okl(2), TX, ,Tulsa, & K-St, split w Okl St, beat Baylor, AZ, LSU, TX Tech, Bama, SF Austin & Kent St
44 9253 SEC LSU lost to Xav, Utah, TX A&M, TX Tech & split w Bama beat TN, Ark, So Carol, Wash St, MS St(2) & MS,
45 8908 P10 Stanford beat Cal, NW AZ & TX Tech, split w Wash St, lost to AZ St, UCLA, Wash(2), USC, & Oreg St
46 9193 MWC UNLV lost to Calif, SDSU, Cincy, & split w TCU beat Louisv, BYU,Utah, AZ, UTEP & split w New MX
47 8941 P10 AZ lost to AZ St,UCLA, Calif, UNLV, Stanf, UAB,& Tx A&M, split w USC, beat Zaga, KU, Wash, Wash St,Houston & SDSU
Automatic bids 48 - 65
Last 4 outside the bubble
66 8902 SEC So Carol lost to Clemson, TN, LSU,& Charleston, beat Baylor FL, UK, MS, Vandy GA Auburn & Jax St
67 9126 B12 Baylor beat AZ St Okl St Prov, Wash St & K-St lost to Okl(2), WF,TX, MO, KU ,Tx A&M & So Car, split w TX Tech
68 9228 B12 Okl St lost to Okl, Mich St, Zaga,KU,TX, MO, Baylor, & Wash, split w Tx A&M, beat Siena, TX A&M-CC, Nebr, TX T URI,Tulsa, Ark St. & Mercer
69 8880 WCC St. Mary's lost to Zaga(2), UTEP & SIU beat SDSU, Prov, San Diego Pacific, Oregon & San Fr (2), split w Santa Clara
Next to Last 4 outside the bubble
70 9230 MWC San Diego St U lost to AZ St, BYU,St Mary's & AZ,, split w Utah, beat UNLV, TCU, New MX, San Diego & W Carol
71 8808 ACC BC beat UNC,MD UAB, Iowa NC St UVA & Prov,split w VA Tech, lost to Wake(2),Clemson, Purdue, Miami-FL, SLU & Harvard
72 8552 BE Cincy beat UN LV G-town(2), Notre Dame ,UAB & MS St & St John's(2) lost to UCONN Xav, Marq, Nova, Memphis, FSU, Prov (2)
73 8507 ACC Maryland beat Mich St , Mich & GA Tech(2), split with Miami-FL, lost to Duke, G-town, Zaga, FSU BC & Morgan St.
I don't show these two in yet but they have very strong schedules
74 8787 B10 Michigan beat UCLA NW & Iowa split w Duke, Illini & Penn St, lost to UCONN, Purdue, Ohio St(2), Wisc MD
75 8605 B10 NW beat MN, FSU & DePaul,split w Mich St & Wisc, lost to Butler,Purdue IL,,Stanf Mich, Penn St & Iowa
You've said it all brother. Yes, Duke can beat any team on any given night, but winning 6 in a row, well I'm sorry, but the basketball gods aren't that kind.
Our current weakness at the PG position and at center will eventually catch-up with us, again as I've said before, this squad is very good, but is lacking all the necessary components for a title run.
Louisville, Uconn, UNC, Team that will be smashed by one of the other 3 (oklahoma?)
or... Duke (please God, let it happen)
Things change quickly.
Since this thread started, the following things have happened:
1) UConn lost one of its star players to injury
2) Louisville got BLOWN OUT by Notre Dame
3) UCLA got beat by Arizona State.
Sadly for Duke fans, bullet point number 1 means that the road for UNC probably just got a little easier. But in the tournament anything can happen. I agree that if the 2004 Georgia Tech team could make the Final Four, this Duke team can. I'd take this Duke team over that Ga Tech team all day every day.
Just keep supporting the team, come what may.
I'm pretty sure what he was trying to say was that Notre Dame has been way overrated the entire year and they just waxed L'ville. Duke getting waxed by a top 10 Clemson team is much different in my opinion. Final Four will be: Duke, Oklahoma, Pitt, and U-con. Pitt and Duke Final. We WILL win the rematch from last year!
I'd go with:
UCONN
UNC
Pitt
Mich st
but as we all know, the tournament is about match-ups and any of these teams can slip up depending on the path they have to take
Lville and MSU generally perform so much better come March then previously in the season. Their coaches really prepare the team for the big one. I see one of them, if not both, going to the Final Four.
As far as the other teams, like everyone else said, UCONN, Pitt and UNC are likely candidates. We need to do a lot to be taken seriously as a FF candidate. I also really like OK (best big in the nation, good and reliable guard play), Nova (great great guards but their small) and Clemson (I really like the team, Booker is a rock star and although Ogelsby may be the most annoying opponent since McCants, the boy can shoot). My super dark horse: LSU. Trent Johnson knows how to win. Period.
Teams that look FF material but definetely aren't: WF - shows that experience matters. Maybe the most talented team in the country but you need experience. UCLA - although Jrue is good, he isn't the savior that many thought he would be.