Originally Posted by
budwom
The stats are interesting, but the teams have played widely varying schedules. Virginia's schedule has been MUCH tougher than Duke's, though obviously they've lost more games.
A decent metric at this point of the season is the Sagarin ratings, which have Duke at # 86 and UVA at 85...though Virginia's strength of schedule is 23rd, Duke's 159. So I wouldn't pay too much attention
to the respective records.
Duke has beaten #128 (FIU), Memphis (173) , NCCU (232) and Wake (110). We lost to Stanford (14).
UVA has beaten Richmond (139), Penn St (36), and lost to TCU (15) GTech (61 and LaTech (51).
Duke is a 2.5 point favorite, which sounds about right for evenly matched teams playing in Derm.
There will be nothing easy about this game.