Not a bad guess -- as the rosters now stand -- but there will be some significant movement in the offseason and that will change the odds.
Paul George could be key player. But there is also talk of Chris Paul to the Spurs ... how big would that be? I also heard a commentator talking about how Close Chris Paul and Lebron are. Would trading Kyrie for Paul make the Cavs better? But adding Paul to the Spurs makes San Antonio a lot better.
And here's one -- I was listening to Cornbread Maxwell (who broadcasts for the Celtics) talk about the draft. He thinks Boston should package the No. 1 pick and next year's No. 1 from Brooklyn that the Celtics own (and is likely to be a top 4 pick) and trade both picks to the Pelicans for Anthony Davis? I can't imagine the Pelicans would make that deal -- Davis is under contract through 2020-21. Still, that's an interesting package and could lure a top power player from a bad team (one that's not under contract as long).